trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 25 | -6.6% | -15.5% | 68% | 52% | -16.0% |
| ≤30d | 25 | -6.6% | -15.5% | 68% | 52% | -16.0% |
| ≤90d | 25 | -6.6% | -15.5% | 68% | 52% | -16.0% |
| all | 25 | -6.6% | -15.5% | 68% | 52% | -16.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -15.5% | 52% | -16.0% |
| 10% | -23.6% | 40% | -24.0% |
| 15% | -31.0% | 28% | -31.4% |
| 20% | -37.7% | 20% | -38.1% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will France win on 2026-06-22? | Yes | 91¢ | 100¢ | $250 | $273 | +$23 (+9%) |
| Will Jordan win on 2026-06-22? | No | 86¢ | 86¢ | $90 | $89 | −$1 (-1%) |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 13¢ | 13¢ | $30 | $30 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Will Japan win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 28¢ | 20¢ | $32 | $23 | −$9 (-27%) |
| Will Norway win on 2026-06-22? | Yes | 42¢ | 38¢ | $20 | $18 | −$2 (-11%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Austria win on 2026-06-22? | Jun 22 | $400 | +$48 | +12% |
| Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 22 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 22 | $202 | −$202 | -100% |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 21 | $101 | −$100 | -99% |
| Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 21 | $300 | +$11 | +4% |
| Japan to win the second half? | Jun 21 | $101 | +$68 | +67% |
| Tunisia vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score | Jun 21 | $101 | +$31 | +31% |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 21 | $191 | +$30 | +16% |
| Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 21 | $251 | −$250 | -100% |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 20 | $101 | +$44 | +44% |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 20 | $250 | +$17 | +7% |
| Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 20 | $302 | +$78 | +26% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 20 | $273 | +$32 | +12% |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 20 | $241 | +$23 | +10% |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 19 | $51 | −$50 | -98% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 19 | $10 | +$6 | +62% |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 19 | $10 | +$3 | +29% |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 18 | $10 | +$6 | +56% |
| Czechia vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Score in First Half | Jun 18 | $10 | +$1 | +6% |
| Will Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw? | Jun 18 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 18 | $10 | +$4 | +40% |
| Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 18 | $5 | +$7 | +146% |
| Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 17 | $5 | −$5 | -99% |
| Will England win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $10 | +$7 | +70% |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $10 | −$10 | -99% |