Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T01:11:57+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

99
0x99d9…bdc1
crypto · 887 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$9 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$9 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$9
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)92%
Wins / losses816 / 71
Open positions0
Markets (closed)887 / 887
History coverage69d
Avg bet$16
Trades / day16.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 887 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$0
7 days+$14
14 days+$14
30 days−$58
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Up 66¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Up 86¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 14 $9 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 13 $9 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$9 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 13 $9 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$3 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$4 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 13 $9 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$2 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 13 $9 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$2 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$2 +18%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$2 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$8 +81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$7 +71%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$2 +16%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 13 $9 +$2 +19%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 13 $9 +$2 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 13 $9 +$2 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$2 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$8 +84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 13 $9 +$2 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +5%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$9
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $11 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $9 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $11 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $10 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $9 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $10 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $9 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $13 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $10 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $14 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $10 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $10 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $10 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $2 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $8 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $9 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $9 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $11 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $9 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $10 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $9 9h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $0 9h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +9%
net ROI/market (all)-6.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 121 +1.2% -8.4% 89% 28% -8.5%
≤30d 206 +0.5% -9.1% 90% 17% -11.0%
≤90d 887 +3.3% -6.6% 92% 9% -9.6%
all 887 +3.3% -6.6% 92% 9% -9.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover16.1 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -6.6% 9% -9.6%
10% -15.5% 4% -18.3%
15% -23.7% 3% -26.2%
20% -31.2% 2% -33.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1823 history records