Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T17:22:36+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

99
0x99d7…6435
sports · 960 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$3,019 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$4,684 · open −$1,614
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$2,133
Realized+$4,684
Unrealized−$1,614
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses525 / 531
Whale WR (big bets)63%
Est. fees paid−$4,532
Open positions20
Markets (closed)1056 / 960
History coverage13d
Avg bet$476
Trades / day223.0
Drawdown93%
Kalshi-fit87%
Chart Positions 20 History 1056 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$55,400
7 days−$40,750
14 days+$4,684
30 days+$4,684
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz Mattia Bellucci 61¢ 30¢ $1,215 $610 −$605 (-50%)
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: England vs Sri Lanka England 88¢ 88¢ $594 $596 +$2 (+0%)
UFC Freedom 250: Aiemann Zahabi vs. Sean O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card) Sean OMalley 77¢ 78¢ $442 $451 +$9 (+2%)
OC Safi vs. Kawkab AC: Both Teams to Score No 56¢ 100¢ $73 $130 +$57 (+78%)
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 11.5 Total Corners Under 78¢ 76¢ $102 $99 −$2 (-2%)
Spread: CD Ñublense (-2.5) CD Huachipato 85¢ 92¢ $54 $58 +$4 (+7%)
Spread: CD Huachipato (-1.5) CD Ñublense 80¢ 93¢ $47 $54 +$7 (+16%)
ITF Curtea de Arges: Radu Mihai Papoe vs Marlon Vankan Radu Mihai Papoe 90¢ 88¢ $40 $39 −$1 (-2%)
ITF Martos: Emile Hudd vs Joao Domingues Emile Hudd 65¢ 96¢ $24 $35 +$11 (+48%)
OC Safi vs. Kawkab AC: O/U 2.5 Under 95¢ 100¢ $19 $20 +$1 (+5%)
Will Bamin Real Potosí win on 2026-05-18? Yes 61¢ 36¢ $24 $14 −$10 (-41%)
Will Northampton Saints win? No 34¢ 31¢ $11 $10 −$1 (-8%)
CD Ñublense vs. CD Huachipato: O/U 0.5 Under 7¢ 8¢ $7 $8 +$1 (+7%)
Ilkley: Keegan Smith vs Jacob Fearnley Keegan Smith 32¢ 0¢ $425 $7 −$418 (-98%)
ITF San Gregorio: Dunja Maric vs Nadia Podoroska Dunja Maric 32¢ 30¢ $2 $1 −$0 (-8%)
Ilkley: Dane Sweeny vs Billy Harris Billy Harris 66¢ 0¢ $621 $0 −$621 (-100%)
OC Safi leading at halftime? No 74¢ 1¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-99%)
Will OC Safi win on 2026-06-12? No 54¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
ITF Martos: Alberto Barroso Campos vs Pablo Perez Ramos Alberto Barroso Campos 78¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
ITF Nice: Oana Georgeta Simion vs Jenny Lim Oana Georgeta Simion 16¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers 7¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins Atlanta Braves 46¢ 0¢ $339 $0 −$339 (-100%)
Will FK Lokomotiv Moskva win on 2026-05-17? Yes 39¢ 0¢ $23 $0 −$23 (-100%)
Spread: Mexico (-2.5) Mexico 9¢ 0¢ $45 $0 −$45 (-100%)
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-17? No 37¢ 0¢ $372 $0 −$372 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Detroit Tigers Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins Jun 12 $339 −$339 -100%
Will FK Lokomotiv Moskva win on 2026-05-17? Jun 12 $23 −$23 -100%
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-17? Jun 12 $372 −$372 -100%
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-24? Jun 12 $750 −$750 -100%
Roland Garros WTA: Linda Fruhvirtova vs Elsa Jacquemot Jun 12 $329 −$329 -100%
Geneva Open: Raphael Collignon vs Casper Ruud Jun 12 $349 −$349 -100%
Santos FC leading at halftime? Jun 12 $13 −$13 -100%
Forca Lleida CE vs. Basquet Club Andorra Jun 12 $24 −$24 -100%
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 6.5 Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Set 1 Winner: Kovacevic vs Buse Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jasmine Paolini vs Leolia Jeanjean Jun 12 $66 −$66 -100%
Spread: Atlanta Dream (-1.5) Jun 12 $25 −$25 -100%
Spread: FC Groningen (-1.5) Jun 12 $118 −$118 -100%
Damac Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Will Hull City AFC vs. Middlesbrough FC end in a draw? Jun 12 $72 −$72 -100%
T20 World Cup Sub Regional Europe Qualifier A: Switzerland vs Croatia Jun 12 $151 −$151 -100%
Colorado Rockies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 9.5 Jun 12 $331 −$331 -100%
Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Liaoning Tieren FC: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $304 −$304 -100%
ITF Gaborone: Udit Kamboj vs Cooper Williams Jun 12 $41 −$41 -100%
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 7.5 Jun 12 $782 −$782 -100%
ITF Maringa: Mateus Alves vs Luis Felipe Miguel Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Roland Garros, Qualification WTA: Linda Fruhvirtova vs Lucie Havlickov Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Will FK Pari Nizhnii Novgorod win on 2026-05-11? Jun 12 $101 −$101 -100%
KFUM-Kameratene Oslo vs. Tromsø IL: O/U 4.5 Jun 12 $22 −$22 -100%
Roland Garros ATP: Adolfo Vallejo vs Moise Kouame Jun 12 $730 −$730 -100%
Roland Garros, Qualification WTA: Kaja Juvan vs Guiomar Maristany Jun 12 $38 −$38 -100%
Phoenix Mercury vs. Atlanta Dream Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 4.5 Jun 12 $49 −$49 -100%
Odisha FC vs. Punjab FC: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $165 −$165 -100%
Venezia FC vs. Palermo FC: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-05-31? Jun 12 $72 −$72 -100%
Bordeaux: Moise Kouame vs Benjamin Bonzi Jun 12 $720 −$720 -100%
World Championships: Slovakia vs. Czechia Jun 12 $231 −$231 -100%
Cordoba: Miguel Tobon vs Andrea Collarini Jun 12 $45 −$45 -100%
Petrojet SC vs. Wadi Degla SC: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 9.5 Jun 12 $152 −$152 -100%
Deportivo La Guaira FC vs. CS Independiente Rivadavia: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $37 −$37 -100%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Madison Keys vs Peyton Stearns Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Noguchi vs. Cui: Match O/U 22.5 Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Roland Garros WTA: Anhelina Kalinina vs Diane Parry Jun 12 $2,182 −$2,182 -100%
San Diego Padres vs. Seattle Mariners Jun 12 $788 −$788 -100%
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5) Jun 12 $24 −$24 -100%
Vicenza: Samuele Pieri vs Jerome Kym Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Roland Garros, Qualification WTA: Marina Bassols Ribera vs Karolina Pl Jun 12 $152 −$152 -100%
Spread: VfB Stuttgart (-2.5) Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Al Ahli Saudi Club win on 2026-05-16? Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Roland Garros ATP: Titouan Droguet vs Jakub Mensik Jun 12 $294 −$294 -100%
Serna vs. Zeitune: Match O/U 21.5 Jun 12 $24 −$24 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 92% +$41,959
other 8% +$17,184
world 0% −$33
crypto 0% −$150
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
ITF San Gregorio: Dunja Maric vs Nadia Podoroska BUY Dunja Maric 32¢ $2 4m
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: England vs Sri Lanka BUY England 89¢ $536 11m
ITF Martos: Emile Hudd vs Joao Domingues BUY Emile Hudd 65¢ $24 35m
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz BUY Mattia Bellucci 57¢ $289 40m
ITF Curtea de Arges: Radu Mihai Papoe vs Marlon Vankan BUY Radu Mihai Papoe 90¢ $40 41m
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz BUY Mattia Bellucci 62¢ $941 42m
OC Safi vs. Kawkab AC: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 95¢ $19 43m
OC Safi vs. Kawkab AC: Both Teams to Score BUY No 56¢ $74 1h
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova BUY Iva Jovic 46¢ $63 1h
ITF Nice: Oana Georgeta Simion vs Jenny Lim BUY Oana Georgeta Simion 16¢ $1 1h
ITF kiseljak: Ivan Biletic vs Duje Ajdukovic BUY Duje Ajdukovic 70¢ $141 1h
ITF kiseljak: Ivan Biletic vs Duje Ajdukovic BUY Duje Ajdukovic 70¢ $212 1h
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova BUY Iva Jovic 49¢ $370 1h
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova BUY Iva Jovic 48¢ $24 1h
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova BUY Iva Jovic 48¢ $1 1h
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova BUY Iva Jovic 47¢ $66 1h
ITF San Gregorio: Aurora Zantedeschi vs Alessandra Mazzola BUY Aurora Zantedeschi 70¢ $4 1h
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova BUY Iva Jovic 44¢ $3 1h
Ilkley: Alicia Dudeney vs Ashlyn Krueger SELL Ashlyn Krueger 100¢ $717 1h
Will OC Safi win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 74¢ $29 1h
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Kamil Majchrzak BUY Kamil Majchrzak 92¢ $336 1h
ITF kiseljak: Ivan Biletic vs Duje Ajdukovic BUY Duje Ajdukovic 79¢ $52 1h
OC Safi leading at halftime? BUY No 76¢ $27 1h
Set 2 Winner: Jovic vs Anisimova BUY Anisimova 68¢ $869 1h
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Kamil Majchrzak BUY Kamil Majchrzak 63¢ $3 1h
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Kamil Majchrzak BUY Kamil Majchrzak 63¢ $583 1h
ITF Wichita: Andrew Fenty vs Lucas Marionneau BUY Andrew Fenty 64¢ $7 2h
ITF Wichita: Andrew Fenty vs Lucas Marionneau BUY Andrew Fenty 64¢ $8 2h
ITF Wichita: Andrew Fenty vs Lucas Marionneau BUY Andrew Fenty 64¢ $10 2h
ITF Wichita: Andrew Fenty vs Lucas Marionneau BUY Andrew Fenty 60¢ $6 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +43%
net ROI/market (all)-20.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 706 -30.9% -37.5% 40% 35% -26.3%
≤30d 1056 -12.2% -20.5% 50% 43% -8.4%
≤90d 1056 -12.2% -20.5% 50% 43% -8.4%
all 1056 -12.2% -20.5% 50% 43% -8.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover223.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -20.5% 43% -8.4%
10% ← realistic here -28.1% 36% -17.2%
15% -35.1% 27% -25.2%
20% -41.4% 20% -32.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2,132.97 · official $2,132.97 (match) · 3500 history records