trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | 2 | +0.1% | -9.4% | 100% | 0% | -9.4% |
| ≤90d | 7 | +0.2% | -9.4% | 100% | 0% | -9.3% |
| all | 23 | -3.8% | -13.0% | 96% | 0% | -9.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -13.0% | 0% | -9.1% |
| 10% | -21.3% | 0% | -17.8% |
| 15% | -28.9% | 0% | -25.7% |
| 20% | -35.9% | 0% | -33.0% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hantavirus outbreak by June 30? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $137 | $137 | +$0 (+0%) |
| Henry Cavill announced as next James Bond? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $114 | $114 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Dogecoin reach $0.20 in May? | Jun 02 | $65 | $0 | +0% |
| Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on | Jun 01 | $185 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Donald Trump not visit China by May 31, 2026? | May 17 | $250 | +$1 | +0% |
| Nuggets vs. Timberwolves | Apr 28 | $249 | +$1 | +0% |
| Heat vs. Raptors | Apr 10 | $249 | $0 | +0% |
| Celtics vs. Heat | Apr 04 | $248 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Elon Musk be richest person on March 31? | Apr 01 | $1,046 | +$2 | +0% |
| Will "NUEVAYOL" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show? | Mar 26 | $28 | −$28 | -100% |
| Heat vs. Cavaliers | Mar 26 | $1,045 | +$1 | +0% |
| Magic vs. Hawks | Mar 18 | $1,044 | +$1 | +0% |
| Will the price of Solana be above $30 on March 14? | Mar 14 | $1,043 | +$1 | +0% |
| Timberwolves vs. Lakers | Mar 11 | $980 | +$63 | +6% |
| Thunder vs. Bulls | Mar 04 | $970 | +$10 | +1% |
| Will Meta (META) close above $840 end of February? | Feb 28 | $969 | +$1 | +0% |
| Will Apple (AAPL) finish week of February 9 above $300? | Feb 14 | $969 | +$1 | +0% |
| Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $180 end of January? | Jan 31 | $995 | +$1 | +0% |
| Will Jessie Buckley be nominated for Best Actress at the 98th Academy | Jan 23 | $993 | +$2 | +0% |
| Aster all time high by December 31? | Jan 02 | $9 | $0 | +2% |
| Pump.fun all time high by December 31? | Jan 02 | $53 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025? | Jan 02 | $122 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31? | Jan 02 | $169 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Ethereum hit $7,000 by December 31? | Jan 02 | $183 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025? | Jan 02 | $457 | $0 | +0% |