Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T14:36:05+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

99
0x99bc…4f35
weather · 496 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$570 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$2,095 · open −$4,678
avoidriskycopy
✓ COPY-WORTHY Fresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$11,460
Realized+$2,095
Unrealized−$4,678
Win rate (resolved)71%
Wins / losses155 / 64
Est. fees paid−$142
Open positions476
Markets (closed)219 / 496
History coverage1d
Avg bet$33
Trades / day3319.0
Drawdown13%
Kalshi-fit80%
Chart Positions 476 History 219 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$2,095
7 days+$2,095
14 days+$2,095
30 days+$2,095
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes 45¢ 22¢ $1,870 $937 −$933 (-50%)
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30? No 65¢ 44¢ $665 $458 −$207 (-31%)
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on June 13? No 9¢ 100¢ $31 $322 +$291 (+954%)
Will Trump visit Pakistan by June 30? No 76¢ 93¢ $223 $274 +$50 (+23%)
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? Yes 16¢ 12¢ $222 $163 −$59 (-26%)
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on June 11? No 66¢ 100¢ $105 $159 +$54 (+52%)
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: 2nd Half O/U 1.5 Over 42¢ 40¢ $161 $153 −$7 (-5%)
Will Pizza Hut be acquired before 2027? No 21¢ 18¢ $175 $151 −$24 (-14%)
Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in June? Yes 43¢ 41¢ $157 $149 −$7 (-5%)
Will Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting? No 59¢ 55¢ $156 $144 −$13 (-8%)
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? No 30¢ 20¢ $207 $142 −$65 (-31%)
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? Yes 31¢ 20¢ $214 $138 −$76 (-35%)
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in June? Yes 38¢ 28¢ $181 $137 −$44 (-24%)
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by June 30, 2026? Yes 70¢ 87¢ $102 $127 +$25 (+24%)
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: 2nd Half O/U 2.5 Over 19¢ 18¢ $136 $126 −$10 (-7%)
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day? No 80¢ 88¢ $106 $117 +$10 (+10%)
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another European country? No 76¢ 81¢ $106 $113 +$7 (+7%)
US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026? No 38¢ 31¢ $135 $110 −$26 (-19%)
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30? Yes 24¢ 14¢ $189 $109 −$80 (-42%)
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on June 13? No 68¢ 100¢ $70 $103 +$33 (+47%)
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner B8 18¢ 100¢ $18 $103 +$84 (+461%)
Japan vs. Sweden: 2nd Half O/U 1.5 Over 45¢ 52¢ $84 $96 +$12 (+14%)
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026? No 66¢ 68¢ $93 $96 +$4 (+4%)
Set Handicap: Minaur (-1.5) vs Mannarino (+1.5) Mannarino 32¢ 66¢ $45 $92 +$47 (+105%)
Lyon: David Jorda Sanchis vs Tristan Boyer Tristan Boyer 38¢ 60¢ $57 $90 +$34 (+59%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on June 13? Jun 13 $31 +$291 +954%
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on June 11? Jun 13 $105 +$54 +52%
Exact Score: Korea Republic 1 - 1 Czechia? Jun 13 $50 +$17 +33%
Paraguay to win the second half? Jun 13 $0 +$10 +4900%
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on June 12? Jun 13 $2 +$2 +104%
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 39.5 and 39.9 on June 12, 2026 Jun 13 $2 $0 +15%
Will the lowest temperature in London be 11°C on June 11? Jun 13 $1 +$1 +113%
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on June 12? Jun 13 $0 +$1 +223%
Will the announcers say "Messi" during the USA vs Paraguay FIFA World Jun 13 $0 +$1 +285%
ITF Nice: Alina Granwehr vs Jenny Lim Jun 13 $78 −$41 -53%
Counter-Strike: Oxuji Esports vs Misa Esports (BO3) - European Pro Lea Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Set Handicap: Raducanu (-1.5) vs Rakhimova (+1.5) Jun 13 $84 +$43 +51%
Alexander Bublik vs. Taylor Fritz: Total Sets O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $49 −$42 -85%
Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs KT Rolster (+1.5) Jun 13 $32 +$6 +19%
Will the announcers say "Legend" during the USA vs Paraguay FIFA World Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Counter-Strike: struggletony vs MASONIC (BO3) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Group Jun 13 $34 −$13 -38%
Bratislava: Alexander Shevchenko vs Vitaliy Sachko Jun 13 $76 −$4 -5%
ITF Madrid: Carmen Gallardo Guevara vs Briyana Ivanova Jun 13 $51 −$8 -15%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $49 +$43 +89%
Ilkley: Mark Lajal vs Yunchaokete Bu Jun 13 $22 −$22 -100%
Set Handicap: Shevchenko (-1.5) vs Sachko (+1.5) Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
Set Handicap: Shelton (-1.5) vs Shimabukuro (+1.5) Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on June 13? Jun 13 $54 +$78 +145%
Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs KT Rolster (+2.5) Jun 13 $98 +$114 +117%
ITF Zagreb: Iva Primorac vs Elina Avanesyan Jun 13 $42 −$12 -29%
Ilkley: Darwin Blanch vs Jacob Fearnley Jun 13 $50 −$50 -100%
Games Total: O/U 3.5 Jun 13 $349 +$236 +68%
HSBC Championships: Emma Raducanu vs Kamilla Rakhimova Jun 13 $105 +$75 +72%
Iran x Oman Strait of Hormuz agreement by June 15? Jun 13 $7 +$16 +237%
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by J Jun 13 $1 $0 +48%
Will Trump dance during UFC Freedom 250? Jun 13 $10 +$1 +8%
Will nocries play an HLTV-recorded match by June 30? Jun 13 $1 +$6 +542%
Will Donald Trump sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31? Jun 13 $45 +$1 +3%
Will Trump meet with Elon Musk in June 2026? Jun 13 $24 +$7 +28%
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on June 14? Jun 13 $3 +$2 +65%
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 80-81°F on June 13? Jun 13 $7 $0 +6%
Will USD fall to 1.6M Iranian rials by June 30? Jun 13 $57 +$10 +18%
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo? Jun 13 $13 +$11 +84%
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-June 14? Jun 13 $5 +$2 +45%
Will Bradley Barcola be in France's Starting 11? Jun 13 $25 +$4 +14%
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on June 13? Jun 13 $1 $0 +15%
Will Spencer Pratt concede by June 15? Jun 13 $78 +$11 +14%
Ilkley: Ashlyn Krueger vs Darja Vidmanova Jun 13 $15 +$7 +49%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on June 15? Jun 13 $12 $0 +2%
Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-J Jun 13 $45 +$8 +18%
Set 2 Winner: Raducanu vs Rakhimova Jun 13 $2 +$2 +80%
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C or higher on June 13? Jun 13 $70 +$1 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on June 13? Jun 13 $19 $0 +2%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on June 15? Jun 13 $1 $0 +55%
Will Bukayo Saka be in England's Starting 11? Jun 13 $4 +$6 +137%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 44% −$3,937
weather 23% +$406
sports 20% +$727
world 7% +$125
politics 2% +$10
crypto 2% −$268
tech 2% −$15
culture 0% −$11
finance 0% +$3
economics 0% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Lyon: David Jorda Sanchis vs Tristan Boyer SELL David Jorda Sanchis 39¢ $11 0m
Set Handicap: Cina (-1.5) vs Daniel (+1.5) BUY Cina 24¢ $2 1m
Set Handicap: Cina (-1.5) vs Daniel (+1.5) BUY Cina 25¢ $2 1m
Set Handicap: Cina (-1.5) vs Daniel (+1.5) BUY Cina 26¢ $2 1m
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra BUY No 66¢ $92 1m
Set Handicap: Minaur (-1.5) vs Mannarino (+1.5) BUY Mannarino 32¢ $45 1m
ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Sean Cuenin vs Branko Djuric BUY Branko Djuric 2¢ $1 2m
ITF Ceska Lipa: Oleksii Krutykh vs Denis Petak BUY Denis Petak 4¢ $1 2m
Libema Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Alex de Minaur BUY Adrian Mannarino 8¢ $12 2m
Lyon: David Jorda Sanchis vs Tristan Boyer BUY David Jorda Sanchis 19¢ $27 2m
Iran x Oman Strait of Hormuz agreement by June 15? SELL Yes 10¢ $0 2m
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Australia vs South Africa SELL South Africa 21¢ $6 2m
Türkiye vs. Paraguay: 2nd Half O/U 2.5 BUY Over 19¢ $5 2m
Set Handicap: Minaur (-1.5) vs Mannarino (+1.5) SELL Minaur 67¢ $98 3m
Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on June 19? BUY No 7¢ $3 3m
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by J SELL Yes 28¢ $1 3m
Libema Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Alex de Minaur BUY Adrian Mannarino 13¢ $18 3m
Libema Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Alex de Minaur BUY Adrian Mannarino 13¢ $0 3m
Libema Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Alex de Minaur BUY Adrian Mannarino 13¢ $1 3m
Libema Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Alex de Minaur BUY Adrian Mannarino 13¢ $0 3m
Lyon: David Jorda Sanchis vs Tristan Boyer BUY David Jorda Sanchis 15¢ $2 3m
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 19? BUY No 24¢ $29 4m
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 22, 2026? BUY No 34¢ $8 4m
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 22, 2026? BUY No 34¢ $41 4m
ITF Ceska Lipa: Oleksii Krutykh vs Denis Petak SELL Oleksii Krutykh 93¢ $14 4m
ITF San Gregorio: Andreea Prisacariu vs Lucciana Perez Alarcon SELL Lucciana Perez Alarcon 85¢ $127 5m
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another European countr BUY No 76¢ $106 5m
Will "Obsession" 5th Weekend Box Office be greater than 19m? BUY No 15¢ $22 5m
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14 SELL Yes 37¢ $54 5m
Will Trump dance during UFC Freedom 250? SELL Yes 56¢ $11 6m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
worth copying (survives realistic slippage)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +55%
net ROI/market (all)+40.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 219 +55.7% +40.9% 71% 55% +11.9%
≤30d 219 +55.7% +40.9% 71% 55% +11.9%
≤90d 219 +55.7% +40.9% 71% 55% +11.9%
all 219 +55.7% +40.9% 71% 55% +11.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3319.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +40.9% 55% +11.9%
10% ← realistic here +27.4% 45% +1.2%
15% +15.1% 36% -8.6%
20% +3.8% 29% -17.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $11,459.55 · official $11,641.65 · 3500 history records