Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T09:47:47+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

99
0x99ae…386f
sports · 3 markets active 6h ago
0.0score
+$5,022,101 +100%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$5,022,101 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY sports specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample⚠ Possible transfer/wash account
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$9,943,962
Realized+$5,022,101
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)67%
Wins / losses2 / 1
Est. fees paid−$13,056
Open positions0
Markets (closed)3 / 3
History coverage1d
Avg bet$1,666,074
Trades / day101.0
Drawdown4%
Kalshi-fit67%
Chart Positions 0 History 3 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$5,022,101
7 days+$5,022,101
14 days+$5,022,101
30 days+$5,022,101
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? No 44¢ 100¢ $3,751,869 $8,550,742 +$4,798,873 (+128%)
Spread: Türkiye (-1.5) Australia 70¢ 100¢ $974,995 $1,393,220 +$418,225 (+43%)
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? Yes 27¢ 0¢ $194,998 $0 −$194,998 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Spread: Türkiye (-1.5) Jun 14 $983,780 +$418,225 +42%
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? Jun 14 $199,275 −$194,998 -98%
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $3,815,168 +$4,798,873 +126%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 76% +$4,798,873
sports 24% +$223,228
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Spread: Türkiye (-1.5) BUY Australia 70¢ $75,675 5h
Spread: Türkiye (-1.5) BUY Australia 70¢ $100,900 5h
Spread: Türkiye (-1.5) BUY Australia 70¢ $100,900 5h
Spread: Türkiye (-1.5) BUY Australia 70¢ $100,900 5h
Spread: Türkiye (-1.5) BUY Australia 70¢ $100,901 5h
Spread: Türkiye (-1.5) BUY Australia 70¢ $201,801 5h
Spread: Türkiye (-1.5) BUY Australia 70¢ $194,014 5h
Spread: Türkiye (-1.5) BUY Australia 70¢ $108,689 5h
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? BUY Yes 27¢ $10,219 5h
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? BUY Yes 27¢ $10,219 5h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 44¢ $89,478 5h
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? BUY Yes 27¢ $10,219 5h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 44¢ $101,680 5h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 44¢ $101,680 5h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 44¢ $101,680 5h
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? BUY Yes 27¢ $15,329 5h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 44¢ $50,840 5h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 44¢ $101,680 5h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 44¢ $101,680 5h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 44¢ $50,840 5h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 44¢ $10,168 5h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 44¢ $10,168 5h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 44¢ $50,840 5h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 44¢ $50,840 5h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 44¢ $10,168 5h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 44¢ $50,840 5h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 44¢ $20,336 5h
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? BUY Yes 27¢ $20,438 6h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 44¢ $50,840 6h
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? BUY Yes 27¢ $3,721 6h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +67%
net ROI/market (all)+11.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 3 +23.6% +11.8% 67% 67% +82.8%
≤30d 3 +23.6% +11.8% 67% 67% +82.8%
≤90d 3 +23.6% +11.8% 67% 67% +82.8%
all 3 +23.6% +11.8% 67% 67% +82.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover101.0 tr/day
realistic slip~18%
edge survives to10%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +11.8% 67% +82.8%
10% +1.1% 67% +65.3%
15% ← realistic here -8.6% 67% +49.3%
20% -17.6% 33% +34.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $9,943,962.27 · official $9,943,962.27 (match) · 101 history records