Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:55:19+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

99
0x99a7…fc82
sports · 142 markets active 20h ago
0.0score
+$61,032 +3%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$61,032 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Net worth$0
Realized+$61,032
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)49%
Wins / losses69 / 73
Whale WR (big bets)58%
Est. fees paid−$35,609
Open positions0
Markets (closed)142 / 142
History coverage66d
Avg bet$16,860
Trades / day43.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 142 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$60,922
7 days+$28,616
14 days−$14,581
30 days−$14,751
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Texas Rangers vs. Detroit Tigers Texas Rangers 45¢ $13,762 $0 −$13,762 (-100%)
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles Tampa Bay Rays 52¢ $17,333 $0 −$17,333 (-100%)
Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals Washington Nationals 50¢ $11,786 $0 −$11,786 (-100%)
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Atlanta Braves Toronto Blue Jays 48¢ $1,270 $0 −$1,270 (-100%)
Detroit Tigers vs. Atlanta Braves Detroit Tigers 57¢ $50,666 $0 −$50,666 (-100%)
Boston Red Sox vs. Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers 64¢ $35,555 $0 −$35,555 (-100%)
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles Toronto Blue Jays 54¢ $36,000 $0 −$36,000 (-100%)
Baltimore Orioles vs. Miami Marlins Miami Marlins 55¢ $18,333 $0 −$18,333 (-100%)
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jays Tampa Bay Rays 43¢ $12,282 $0 −$12,282 (-100%)
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-05-08? No 67¢ $3,952 $0 −$3,952 (-100%)
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Texas Rangers Arizona Diamondbacks 51¢ $523 $0 −$523 (-100%)
Los Angeles Angels vs. Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays 58¢ $11,928 $0 −$11,928 (-100%)
Texas Rangers vs. Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers 51¢ $50,999 $0 −$50,999 (-100%)
Chicago White Sox vs. Philadelphia Phillies Chicago White Sox 39¢ $34,837 $0 −$34,837 (-100%)
Atlanta Braves vs. Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies 42¢ $891 $0 −$891 (-100%)
Chicago Cubs vs. Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves 62¢ $25,662 $0 −$25,662 (-100%)
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5) Colorado Rockies 52¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5) Atlanta Braves 44¢ $3,022 $0 −$3,022 (-100%)
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Atlanta Braves Toronto Blue Jays 43¢ $33,444 $0 −$33,444 (-100%)
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox Atlanta Braves 58¢ $5,799 $0 −$5,799 (-100%)
Kansas City Royals vs. Texas Rangers Kansas City Royals 47¢ $12,011 $0 −$12,011 (-100%)
Colorado Rockies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks 66¢ $25,217 $0 −$25,217 (-100%)
Miami Marlins vs. Minnesota Twins Miami Marlins 50¢ $33,333 $0 −$33,333 (-100%)
Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubs Cincinnati Reds 39¢ $6,325 $0 −$6,325 (-100%)
New York Mets vs. Miami Marlins New York Mets 49¢ $16,333 $0 −$16,333 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Spread: Mexico (-1.5) Jun 11 $10,000 +$15,000 +150%
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels Jun 11 $52,310 +$47,688 +91%
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox Jun 10 $5,872 −$5,799 -99%
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays Jun 10 $5,729 +$4,033 +70%
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers Jun 10 $42,579 +$35,198 +83%
Chicago White Sox vs. Philadelphia Phillies Jun 07 $35,353 −$34,837 -98%
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Atlanta Braves Jun 07 $32,990 −$32,666 -99%
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Atlanta Braves Jun 03 $34,016 −$33,444 -98%
Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals Jun 03 $11,963 −$11,786 -98%
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Atlanta Braves Jun 02 $1,290 −$1,270 -98%
San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee Brewers Jun 02 $34,786 +$25,465 +73%
Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals Jun 02 $11,980 +$15,519 +130%
San Francisco Giants vs. Colorado Rockies Jun 01 $12,876 +$12,005 +93%
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles May 30 $36,497 −$36,000 -99%
Los Angeles Angels vs. Tampa Bay Rays May 30 $12,078 −$11,928 -99%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Houston Astros May 30 $12,914 +$10,253 +79%
Kansas City Royals vs. Texas Rangers May 29 $12,202 −$12,011 -98%
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles May 27 $17,583 −$17,333 -99%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Milwaukee Brewers May 27 $27,937 +$19,631 +70%
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles May 26 $16,435 −$16,197 -99%
New York Mets vs. Miami Marlins May 23 $16,583 −$16,333 -98%
Colorado Rockies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks May 22 $25,474 −$25,217 -99%
Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins May 19 $77,704 +$64,238 +83%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Colorado Rockies May 18 $40,231 +$29,451 +73%
Chicago Cubs vs. Atlanta Braves May 14 $25,662 −$25,662 -100%
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5) May 14 $3,022 −$3,022 -100%
Colorado Rockies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates May 14 $1,808 +$3,079 +170%
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jays May 13 $12,487 −$12,282 -98%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Texas Rangers May 13 $531 −$523 -99%
Miami Marlins vs. Minnesota Twins May 12 $33,679 −$33,333 -99%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Texas Rangers May 12 $39,216 +$41,116 +105%
Colorado Rockies vs. Philadelphia Phillies May 08 $59,635 −$59,119 -99%
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-05-08? May 08 $3,952 −$3,952 -100%
Cleveland Guardians vs. Kansas City Royals May 07 $4,504 +$5,971 +133%
Minnesota Twins vs. Washington Nationals May 07 $26,666 −$26,666 -100%
Atlanta Braves vs. Seattle Mariners May 06 $18,571 +$15,194 +82%
Baltimore Orioles vs. Miami Marlins May 06 $18,333 −$18,333 -100%
San Diego Padres vs. San Francisco Giants May 06 $16,147 −$16,139 -100%
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5) May 06 $3,676 +$4,492 +122%
Baltimore Orioles vs. Miami Marlins May 06 $14,333 +$19,000 +133%
Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubs May 05 $6,427 −$6,325 -98%
Cleveland Guardians vs. Kansas City Royals May 05 $31,690 +$29,547 +93%
Boston Red Sox vs. Detroit Tigers May 04 $35,555 −$35,555 -100%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins May 03 $44,795 +$34,159 +76%
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5) May 03 $11 −$11 -99%
Atlanta Braves vs. Colorado Rockies May 03 $907 −$891 -98%
Texas Rangers vs. Detroit Tigers May 02 $13,762 −$13,762 -100%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Chicago Cubs May 02 $31,111 −$31,111 -100%
Texas Rangers vs. Detroit Tigers May 01 $50,999 −$50,999 -100%
San Francisco Giants vs. Philadelphia Phillies Apr 30 $4,178 −$4,178 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% +$64,984
world 0% −$3,952
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Spread: Mexico (-1.5) BUY Mexico 40¢ $624 19h
Spread: Mexico (-1.5) BUY Mexico 40¢ $720 19h
Spread: Mexico (-1.5) BUY Mexico 40¢ $1,680 19h
Spread: Mexico (-1.5) BUY Mexico 40¢ $960 19h
Spread: Mexico (-1.5) BUY Mexico 40¢ $240 19h
Spread: Mexico (-1.5) BUY Mexico 40¢ $48 19h
Spread: Mexico (-1.5) BUY Mexico 40¢ $720 19h
Spread: Mexico (-1.5) BUY Mexico 40¢ $374 19h
Spread: Mexico (-1.5) BUY Mexico 40¢ $72 19h
Spread: Mexico (-1.5) BUY Mexico 40¢ $240 19h
Spread: Mexico (-1.5) BUY Mexico 40¢ $24 19h
Spread: Mexico (-1.5) BUY Mexico 40¢ $768 19h
Spread: Mexico (-1.5) BUY Mexico 40¢ $374 19h
Spread: Mexico (-1.5) BUY Mexico 40¢ $1 19h
Spread: Mexico (-1.5) BUY Mexico 40¢ $2,221 19h
Spread: Mexico (-1.5) BUY Mexico 40¢ $2 19h
Spread: Mexico (-1.5) BUY Mexico 40¢ $13 19h
Spread: Mexico (-1.5) BUY Mexico 40¢ $443 19h
Spread: Mexico (-1.5) BUY Mexico 40¢ $13 19h
Spread: Mexico (-1.5) BUY Mexico 40¢ $443 19h
Spread: Mexico (-1.5) BUY Mexico 40¢ $1 19h
Spread: Mexico (-1.5) BUY Mexico 40¢ $6 19h
Spread: Mexico (-1.5) BUY Mexico 40¢ $6 19h
Spread: Mexico (-1.5) BUY Mexico 40¢ $7 19h
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels BUY Los Angeles Angels 52¢ $9,463 38h
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels BUY Los Angeles Angels 52¢ $4 38h
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels BUY Los Angeles Angels 52¢ $22 38h
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels BUY Los Angeles Angels 52¢ $8 39h
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels BUY Los Angeles Angels 52¢ $1 39h
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels BUY Los Angeles Angels 52¢ $1 39h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +49%
net ROI/market (all)-9.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 7 +13.5% +2.7% 57% 57% +4.6%
≤30d 29 -18.4% -26.2% 41% 41% -11.7%
≤90d 142 -0.2% -9.7% 49% 49% -7.2%
all 142 -0.2% -9.7% 49% 49% -7.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover43.7 tr/day
realistic slip~18%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.7% 49% -7.2%
10% -18.4% 49% -16.1%
15% ← realistic here -26.2% 49% -24.2%
20% -33.5% 48% -31.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3063 history records