trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | +0.0% | -9.5% | 0% | 0% | -9.5% |
| ≤30d | 12 | -3.2% | -12.4% | 17% | 0% | -10.2% |
| ≤90d | 12 | -3.2% | -12.4% | 17% | 0% | -10.2% |
| all | 23 | -6.3% | -15.3% | 35% | 0% | -11.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -15.3% | 0% | -11.4% |
| 10% | -23.4% | 0% | -19.9% |
| 15% | -30.8% | 0% | -27.6% |
| 20% | -37.6% | 0% | -34.7% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30? | Jun 23 | $43 | $0 | +0% |
| Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026 | Jun 22 | $40 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Alberta join the US? | Jun 03 | $168 | $0 | -0% |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | Jun 03 | $65 | $0 | +0% |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | Jun 02 | $9 | −$1 | -7% |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31? | May 31 | $122 | +$1 | +1% |
| Israel closes its airspace by May 31? | May 31 | $43 | $0 | +0% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | May 30 | $55 | $0 | +0% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026? | May 30 | $4 | −$1 | -23% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | May 28 | $38 | −$3 | -9% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | May 27 | $36 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arab | May 26 | $2 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025? | Dec 19 | $1 | $0 | -14% |
| Will Ethereum reach $3200 in June? | Dec 15 | $2 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York | Jun 29 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Will Lee Jae-myung win 55-60% of the vote in the South Korea election? | Jun 05 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Estonia win Eurovision 2025? | May 19 | $2 | $0 | +3% |
| Will Charles Maung Bo be the next pope? | May 09 | $1 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Bobby Kotick buy TikTok? | Apr 19 | $10 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | Apr 17 | $9 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Trump meet with MrBeast in his first 100 days? | Apr 16 | $12 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Elon go on Daily Show before April? | Mar 29 | $14 | $0 | +0% |
| U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. before April? | Mar 27 | $14 | $0 | -0% |