Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T04:10:54+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

99
0x9991…36b8
sports · 1432 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$1,115 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,075 · open −$41
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$404
Realized−$1,075
Unrealized−$41
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses657 / 664
Est. fees paid−$291
Open positions39
Markets (closed)1321 / 1432
History coverage8d
Avg bet$16
Trades / day433.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 39 History 1321 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$221
7 days−$1,113
14 days−$1,075
30 days−$1,075
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 13.5 Under 75¢ 71¢ $28 $26 −$1 (-5%)
Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-3.5) Tampa Bay Rays 70¢ 98¢ $17 $24 +$7 (+41%)
Spread: Athletics (-4.5) Colorado Rockies 70¢ 94¢ $17 $23 +$6 (+34%)
Spread: Athletics (-2.5) Athletics 16¢ 14¢ $20 $18 −$2 (-10%)
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 15.5 Under 76¢ 83¢ $16 $18 +$2 (+9%)
Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-1.5) Los Angeles Angels 34¢ 75¢ $8 $18 +$10 (+121%)
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 5.5 Over 74¢ 85¢ $14 $17 +$2 (+15%)
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 10.5 Over 71¢ 61¢ $17 $14 −$2 (-14%)
ITF Tokyo: Hikaru Shiraishi vs Jangjun Kim Jangjun Kim 58¢ 100¢ $8 $13 +$6 (+72%)
Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Wanted Goons (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playoffs Wanted Goons 53¢ 48¢ $15 $13 −$2 (-10%)
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants Chicago Cubs 45¢ 96¢ $6 $12 +$6 (+114%)
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics Colorado Rockies 36¢ 57¢ $7 $11 +$4 (+60%)
ITF Maanshan: Pawit Sornlaksup vs Kokoro Isomura Pawit Sornlaksup 75¢ 100¢ $8 $11 +$3 (+34%)
Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-8.5) Golden State Valkyries 44¢ 72¢ $7 $11 +$4 (+62%)
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 10.5 Under 66¢ 94¢ $7 $11 +$3 (+42%)
Golden State Valkyries vs. Seattle Storm Golden State Valkyries 75¢ 95¢ $8 $11 +$2 (+27%)
Spread: Athletics (-3.5) Colorado Rockies 67¢ 92¢ $7 $9 +$3 (+37%)
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 10.5 Under 77¢ 39¢ $18 $9 −$9 (-49%)
AHL: Toronto Marlies vs. Chicago Wolves Toronto Marlies 46¢ 99¢ $4 $9 +$5 (+116%)
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 7.5 Under 38¢ 43¢ $8 $8 +$1 (+12%)
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics Athletics 62¢ 42¢ $12 $8 −$4 (-31%)
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5 Under 73¢ 69¢ $8 $8 −$0 (-5%)
Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-9.5) Golden State Valkyries 49¢ 62¢ $6 $8 +$2 (+26%)
Spread: San Francisco Giants (-2.5) Chicago Cubs 69¢ 99¢ $5 $7 +$2 (+44%)
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 6.5 Over 68¢ 62¢ $8 $7 −$1 (-9%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
ITF Wuning: Priska Madelyn Nugroho vs Yujia Huang Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 9.5 Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
ITF Szentendre: Yannik Kelm vs Peter Fajta Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Birmingham: Mananchaya Sawangkaew vs Kayla Day Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Will FC Universitario vs. Club Aurora end in a draw? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Kansas City Royals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 10.5 Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Texas Rangers vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 8.5 Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-2.5) Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Birmingham: Greet Minnen vs Alina Charaeva Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Besiktas vs. Bahcesehir Koleji Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
ITF Montemor-O-Novo: Savannah Broadus vs Viktoria Morvayova Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Makarska: Lucie Havlickova vs Yasmine Kabbaj Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Houston Astros: O/U 12.5 Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Set 1 Winner: Shimabukuro vs Majchrzak Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
KBO: NC Dinos vs. Samsung Lions Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Set 1 Winner: Jodar vs Zverev Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5) Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
ITF Cuiaba: Nicolas Oliveira vs Bruno Fernandez Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
AA Ponte Preta vs. Botafogo FC: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
PortlandFire vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 160.5 Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Chicago Sky vs. Washington Mystics Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Texas Rangers vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 7.5 Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Will OC Safi vs. Maghreb AS de Fès end in a draw? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 6.5 Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Counter-Strike: RED Canids Academy vs paiN Academy (BO3) - Gamers Club Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Mirra Andreeva Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Tyler: Murphy Cassone vs Yuta Shimizu Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twins Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Perugia: Andrea Pellegrino vs Maks Kasnikowski Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
ITF Cuiaba: Nicolas Zanellato vs Pedro Rodrigues Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Houston Astros: O/U 11.5 Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 10.5 Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Reyer Venezia vs. Virtus Bologna Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5) Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Austria vs. Tunisia: O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Birmingham: Billy Harris vs Yunchaokete Bu Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Spread: Dallas Wings (-12.5) Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Perugia (Doubles): Kiger/Stalder vs Seggerman/Winegar Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
KBO: LG Twins vs. KT Wiz Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Birmingham (Doubles): Day/Stoiana vs Burrage/Stojsavljevic Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
ITF Focsani: Nicole Gadient vs Sara Victoria Balan Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
COD Meknès vs. Olympic Dcheira: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
ITF Casablanca: Emma Lene vs Marta Soriano Santiago Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5 Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Spread: Washington Mystics (-1.5) Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Foggia: Despina Papamichail vs Chloe Paquet Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Centurion 2: Guillaume Dalmasso vs Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
KBO: Hanwha Eagles vs. Doosan Bears Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 99% −$601
other 1% −$16
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 15.5 BUY Under 76¢ $16 12m
Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Wanted Goons (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playo BUY Wanted Goons 53¢ $15 16m
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 13.5 BUY Under 75¢ $28 21m
Spread: Athletics (-2.5) BUY Athletics 14¢ $16 21m
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics BUY Colorado Rockies 36¢ $7 26m
Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5) SELL Houston Astros 100¢ $29 31m
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 7.5 BUY Under 38¢ $8 33m
ITF Tokyo: Mayuka Aikawa vs Ikumi Yamazaki BUY Mayuka Aikawa 48¢ $6 36m
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5 BUY Under 73¢ $8 38m
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 11.5 BUY Under 47¢ $14 1h
Spread: New York Mets (-1.5) BUY Atlanta Braves 33¢ $5 1h
Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5) BUY Houston Astros 28¢ $8 1h
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 11.5 SELL Over 100¢ $18 1h
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets: O/U 10.5 SELL Over 100¢ $50 1h
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 10.5 BUY Under 77¢ $18 1h
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds SELL Arizona Diamondbacks 100¢ $18 1h
Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-1.5) SELL Arizona Diamondbacks 100¢ $26 1h
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 8.5 SELL Over 100¢ $23 1h
ITF Maanshan: Pawit Sornlaksup vs Kokoro Isomura BUY Pawit Sornlaksup 75¢ $8 1h
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets: O/U 10.5 BUY Over 66¢ $33 1h
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants BUY Chicago Cubs 45¢ $6 1h
Spread: Athletics (-2.5) BUY Athletics 35¢ $5 1h
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5 BUY Over 74¢ $12 1h
Dota 2: GG Boom vs Ignite - Game 2 Winner SELL GG Boom 100¢ $20 1h
Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5) BUY San Francisco Giants 67¢ $6 1h
Golden State Valkyries vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 156.5 BUY Over 53¢ $13 1h
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 7.5 BUY Under 39¢ $3 1h
Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5) BUY San Francisco Giants 62¢ $10 1h
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 8.5 BUY Over 76¢ $17 1h
Osos de Manati vs. Vaqueros de Bayamon SELL Osos de Manati 99¢ $18 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +38%
net ROI/market (all)-21.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1266 -13.7% -21.9% 49% 37% -15.1%
≤30d 1321 -12.7% -21.0% 50% 38% -14.8%
≤90d 1321 -12.7% -21.0% 50% 38% -14.8%
all 1321 -12.7% -21.0% 50% 38% -14.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover433.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -21.0% 38% -14.8%
10% ← realistic here -28.6% 35% -23.0%
15% -35.5% 31% -30.4%
20% -41.8% 25% -37.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $403.90 · official $400.66 (match) · 3500 history records