Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T03:54:34+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

99
0x998a…ffbd
other · 236 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$81 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$81 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$49
Realized−$81
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)6%
Wins / losses13 / 222
Whale WR (big bets)0%
Est. fees paid−$9
Open positions1
Markets (closed)235 / 236
History coverage123d
Avg bet$197
Trades / day9.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit60%
Chart Positions 1 History 235 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$3
7 days−$18
14 days−$29
30 days−$39
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 100¢ 100¢ $49 $49 −$0 (-0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the Houston Texans win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 13 $127 $0 -0%
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $111 $0 -0%
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 12 $104 $0 -0%
Will Seattle Sounders FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? Jun 12 $49 $0 -0%
Will the Cincinnati Bengals win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 11 $182 −$1 -0%
Will the Kansas City Royals win the 2026 World Series? Jun 11 $524 −$1 -0%
Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 11 $384 −$1 -0%
Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 11 $232 −$1 -0%
Will the Dallas Cowboys win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 10 $477 −$1 -0%
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 10 $652 −$1 -0%
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? Jun 10 $143 $0 -0%
Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2 Jun 10 $83 $0 -0%
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 10 $352 −$2 -0%
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 10 $499 −$1 -0%
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 09 $466 −$1 -0%
Will the New York Giants win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 09 $177 $0 -0%
Will New York Red Bulls win the 2026 MLS Cup? Jun 09 $175 $0 -0%
Xi Jinping out by June 30? Jun 08 $204 −$1 -0%
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 08 $390 $0 -0%
Will the San Diego Padres win the 2026 World Series? Jun 08 $258 −$1 -0%
Will the Carolina Panthers win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 08 $183 $0 -0%
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Jun 08 $391 $0 -0%
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 07 $181 $0 -0%
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Jun 07 $207 −$2 -1%
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 07 $310 $0 -0%
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 06 $665 −$1 -0%
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? Jun 06 $335 −$1 -0%
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 06 $587 −$1 -0%
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Jun 06 $468 −$1 -0%
Will Khaled Mashal win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 06 $122 $0 -0%
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 06 $53 $0 -0%
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 05 $247 −$1 -0%
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 05 $440 −$1 -0%
Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 04 $280 −$1 -0%
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Jun 04 $221 $0 -0%
Will the Boston Red Sox win the 2026 World Series? Jun 03 $201 $0 -0%
Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Jun 03 $536 −$1 -0%
Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026? Jun 03 $245 $0 -0%
Will Charlotte FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? Jun 03 $180 $0 -0%
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? Jun 02 $341 $0 -0%
Will the Baltimore Orioles win the 2026 World Series? Jun 02 $357 −$1 -0%
Will the Cincinnati Reds win the 2026 World Series? Jun 02 $251 $0 -0%
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 02 $211 $0 -0%
Will the Philadelphia Phillies win the 2026 World Series? Jun 01 $627 −$1 -0%
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 01 $164 $0 -0%
Will the Houston Astros win the 2026 World Series? Jun 01 $237 $0 -0%
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship? May 31 $57 $0 -0%
Will Mohammed bin Salman win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? May 31 $219 $0 -0%
Will Orlando City SC win the 2026 MLS Cup? May 31 $277 $0 -0%
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 31 $153 $0 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 46% −$34
sports 23% −$21
politics 9% −$6
culture 7% −$7
economics 7% −$8
crypto 5% −$4
world 2% −$1
tech 1% −$1
finance 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $49 1h
Will the Houston Texans win the 2027 NFL league championship? SELL No 97¢ $49 2h
Will the Houston Texans win the 2027 NFL league championship? BUY No 97¢ $49 3h
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 98¢ $49 5h
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 98¢ $49 7h
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL No 98¢ $49 20h
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 98¢ $49 22h
Will Seattle Sounders FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? SELL No 96¢ $49 24h
Will Seattle Sounders FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? BUY No 96¢ $49 27h
Will the Cincinnati Bengals win the 2027 NFL league championship? SELL No 96¢ $49 28h
Will the Cincinnati Bengals win the 2027 NFL league championship? BUY No 96¢ $50 30h
Will the Kansas City Royals win the 2026 World Series? SELL No 99¢ $49 38h
Will the Kansas City Royals win the 2026 World Series? BUY No 99¢ $50 39h
Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? SELL No 99¢ $50 44h
Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? BUY No 99¢ $50 47h
Will the Cincinnati Bengals win the 2027 NFL league championship? SELL No 96¢ $50 47h
Will the Cincinnati Bengals win the 2027 NFL league championship? BUY No 97¢ $50 2d
Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? SELL No 99¢ $50 2d
Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? BUY No 99¢ $50 2d
Will the Dallas Cowboys win the 2027 NFL league championship? SELL No 97¢ $50 2d
Will the Dallas Cowboys win the 2027 NFL league championship? BUY No 97¢ $50 2d
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 98¢ $50 2d
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 98¢ $50 2d
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? SELL No 98¢ $50 2d
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? BUY No 98¢ $50 2d
Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2 SELL No 98¢ $50 2d
Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2 BUY No 98¢ $51 2d
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL No 97¢ $51 2d
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 97¢ $51 3d
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 99¢ $51 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 31 -0.2% -9.7% 0% 0% -9.7%
≤30d 75 -0.2% -9.7% 0% 0% -9.7%
≤90d 189 -0.2% -9.7% 5% 0% -9.7%
all 235 -0.2% -9.7% 6% 0% -9.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover9.9 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.7% 0% -9.7%
10% -18.3% 0% -18.3%
15% -26.2% 0% -26.2%
20% -33.4% 0% -33.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $48.63 · official $48.63 (match) · 1258 history records