Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T05:44:29+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
99 0x9980…e3c9 crypto 499 markets active 0h ago coverage 36d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 35d onlyP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ bot/MM pace (81 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL −$970 (-0%) realized −$970 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -26% what you keep after slip
Net edge-26%after slip
Net WR1%break-even
Win rate98%488W / 11L
Whale WR98%big bets
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$1,296per market
Trades / day80.7pace
Fees−$36est.
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 36d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$934
sports 0% −$2,188
other 0% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (81 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +1%
net ROI/market (all)-9.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 120 -3.4% -12.6% 93% 1% -15.7%
≤30d 366 -0.9% -10.3% 97% 1% -10.7%
≤90d 499 -0.4% -9.9% 98% 1% -10.0%
all 499 -0.4% -9.9% 98% 1% -10.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover80.7 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.9% 1% -10.0%
10% -18.5% 0% -18.6%
15% ← realistic here -26.4% 0% -26.4%
20% -33.6% 0% -33.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 7% · top 2 11% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
99% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -0% · $-wt -0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 98% (≥$1,731) strong on big bets
Persistence
early +0% → late -1% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
5.8 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$15 vs −$961 · ×0.02 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.7 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $700 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

36d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$970
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)98%
Wins / losses488 / 11
Whale WR (big bets)98%
Est. fees paid−$36
Open positions0
Markets (closed)499 / 499
History coverage36d ⚠
Avg bet$1,296
Trades / day80.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 499 Trades
no open positions (3 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 17 $988 +$10 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 17 $989 +$9 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 17 $989 +$9 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 17 $989 +$10 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 17 $989 +$9 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 17 $990 +$9 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 16 $989 +$9 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 16 $988 +$10 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 16 $989 +$10 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 16 $984 +$14 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 16 $990 +$9 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 16 $989 +$9 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 16 $989 +$9 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 16 $990 +$9 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 16 $990 +$9 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 16 $989 +$9 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 16 $990 +$9 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 16 $441 +$4 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 16 $990 +$9 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 16 $989 +$9 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 16 $989 +$9 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 16 $989 +$9 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 16 $988 +$10 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 16 $976 +$22 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 15 $989 +$10 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 15 $990 +$9 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 15 $989 +$10 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 15 $989 +$10 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 15 $991 +$9 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 15 $990 +$9 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 15 $991 +$9 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 15 $955 +$43 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 15 $990 +$10 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 15 $990 +$9 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 15 $989 +$9 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 15 $990 +$9 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 15 $991 +$9 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 15 $991 +$9 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 15 $990 +$10 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 15 $925 +$9 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 15 $990 +$10 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 15 $1,099 +$1 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 15 $991 +$9 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 15 $738 +$7 +1%
Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw? Jun 15 $2 +$5 +250%
Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw? Jun 14 $1 −$1 -97%
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 14 $991 +$9 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 14 $990 +$10 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 14 $927 +$9 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $677 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $212 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $99 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $910 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $58 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $989 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $989 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $989 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $990 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $84 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $905 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $3 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $21 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $49 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $495 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $15 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $37 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $6 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $6 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $38 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $99 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $6 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $56 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $129 15h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records