Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T10:27:51+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

99
0x997c…251e
crypto · 31 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$28,030 -49%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$27,336 · open −$210
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$21,579
Realized−$27,336
Unrealized−$210
Win rate (resolved)17%
Wins / losses71 / 358
Open positions32
Markets (closed)429 / 31
Avg bet$1,837
Trades / day3497.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 32 History 429 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$27,336
7 days−$27,336
14 days−$27,336
30 days−$27,336
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 12? Yes 100¢ 100¢ $2,473 $2,475 +$2 (+0%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 12? No 100¢ 100¢ $2,411 $2,414 +$3 (+0%)
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June? No 92¢ 94¢ $1,799 $1,833 +$34 (+2%)
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June? No 79¢ 78¢ $1,177 $1,172 −$5 (-0%)
Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in June? No 89¢ 88¢ $1,143 $1,131 −$12 (-1%)
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in June? No 98¢ 99¢ $1,069 $1,071 +$2 (+0%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 13? Yes 82¢ 94¢ $861 $985 +$125 (+14%)
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 12? Up 89¢ 90¢ $895 $903 +$8 (+1%)
Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June? No 54¢ 52¢ $919 $878 −$40 (-4%)
Ethereum Up or Down on June 12? Up 86¢ 90¢ $635 $665 +$30 (+5%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June? No 85¢ 90¢ $621 $662 +$41 (+7%)
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in June? No 98¢ 99¢ $649 $657 +$8 (+1%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 13? No 94¢ 96¢ $639 $653 +$14 (+2%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 12? No 31¢ 36¢ $526 $616 +$89 (+17%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 13? Yes 33¢ 42¢ $463 $585 +$122 (+26%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June? Yes 29¢ 28¢ $583 $562 −$21 (-4%)
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in June? No 99¢ 99¢ $544 $546 +$2 (+0%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 13? Yes 99¢ 99¢ $434 $434 +$0 (+0%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 13? No 70¢ 58¢ $381 $316 −$65 (-17%)
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in June? No 99¢ 99¢ $284 $284 +$1 (+0%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 12? No 77¢ 64¢ $335 $281 −$54 (-16%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 12? Yes 100¢ 100¢ $226 $226 +$0 (+0%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 12? No 91¢ 98¢ $202 $217 +$15 (+7%)
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in June? No 20¢ 18¢ $186 $170 −$16 (-9%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 12? No 99¢ 99¢ $163 $163 +$0 (+0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$13 -1069%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$8 -1172%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 11? Jun 12 $6 −$18 -308%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $0 −$1 -695%
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 6? Jun 12 $16 +$73 +452%
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 26? Jun 12 $79 +$100 +127%
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May? Jun 12 $0 −$40 -8515%
Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 March 30-April 5? Jun 12 $33 +$610 +1848%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on April 8? Jun 12 $7 −$14 -182%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 7? Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on April 21? Jun 12 $89 −$227 -256%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on April 28? Jun 12 $2 +$168 +8896%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on March 5? Jun 12 $14 −$63 -468%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on April 2? Jun 12 $5 −$358 -6752%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on January 30 Jun 12 $70 −$166 -238%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on March 1? Jun 12 $0 −$17 -4396%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on March 27? Jun 12 $22 −$185 -824%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on April 3? Jun 12 $2 −$117 -7137%
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $68,000 on February 8? Jun 12 $5 −$68 -1389%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on February 1 Jun 12 $64 −$52 -81%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on April 8? Jun 12 $10 −$45 -458%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on March 13? Jun 12 $154 −$98 -64%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on April 8? Jun 12 $8 −$63 -796%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on March 23? Jun 12 $5 −$140 -2573%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on March 19? Jun 12 $11 −$214 -1861%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on March 5? Jun 12 $217 −$251 -116%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on March 31? Jun 12 $0 −$59 -207036%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -182%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on February 2 Jun 12 $44 −$181 -414%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on March 23? Jun 12 $15 −$18 -125%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on February 2 Jun 12 $106 −$328 -310%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on March 16? Jun 12 $1 +$159 +11108%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on April 15? Jun 12 $56 −$353 -630%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on March 22? Jun 12 $2 −$66 -3239%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on February 2 Jun 12 $3 −$45 -1426%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on March 20? Jun 12 $6 −$41 -705%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$12 -116%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on April 16? Jun 12 $26 −$142 -550%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 6? Jun 12 $13 −$13 -96%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on April 17? Jun 12 $24 −$104 -440%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on April 14? Jun 12 $5 −$93 -1688%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on April 27? Jun 12 $26 −$325 -1262%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on March 20? Jun 12 $42 −$176 -415%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on February 1 Jun 12 $6 −$103 -1737%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on February 1 Jun 12 $24 −$25 -103%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on April 6? Jun 12 $14 −$137 -978%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on March 23? Jun 12 $22 +$26 +120%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on April 5? Jun 12 $1 −$159 -21949%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on February 7 Jun 12 $76 −$29 -38%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$209
other 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 12? SELL Yes 1¢ $1 0m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 12? SELL Yes 1¢ $0 0m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 12? SELL Yes 1¢ $1 0m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 12? SELL Yes 1¢ $0 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 12? SELL Down 14¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 12? SELL Down 14¢ $8 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 12? SELL Down 14¢ $6 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 12? SELL Down 14¢ $8 0m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 12? SELL No 69¢ $14 1m
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in June? SELL Yes 6¢ $3 1m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 12? SELL Yes 1¢ $1 1m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 12? SELL Yes 1¢ $1 1m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 12? BUY No 99¢ $99 1m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 12? SELL Yes 1¢ $1 1m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 12? SELL Yes 1¢ $0 1m
Ethereum Up or Down on June 12? SELL Up 89¢ $1 2m
Ethereum Up or Down on June 12? SELL Up 89¢ $13 2m
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 12? SELL No 68¢ $10 2m
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June? BUY Yes 27¢ $7 2m
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June? BUY Yes 27¢ $28 2m
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June? BUY Yes 27¢ $27 2m
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June? BUY Yes 27¢ $28 2m
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June? BUY Yes 27¢ $29 2m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 12? BUY No 0¢ $0 3m
Ethereum Up or Down on June 12? BUY Down 9¢ $0 3m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 12? SELL Yes 39¢ $3 4m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 12? SELL Yes 39¢ $39 4m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 12? SELL Yes 39¢ $13 4m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 12? SELL Yes 39¢ $41 4m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 12? SELL Yes 39¢ $39 4m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +16%
net ROI/market (all)+67.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 429 +85.6% +67.9% 17% 16% -52.5%
≤30d 429 +85.6% +67.9% 17% 16% -52.5%
≤90d 429 +85.6% +67.9% 17% 16% -52.5%
all 429 +85.6% +67.9% 17% 16% -52.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3497.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +67.9% 16% -52.5%
10% ← realistic here +51.8% 16% -57.0%
15% +37.2% 16% -61.2%
20% +23.7% 15% -65.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $21,579.06 · official $21,577.14 (match) · 3500 history records