Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T19:10:33+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

99
0x9972…b990
crypto · 426 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$60 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$59 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$21
Realized−$59
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)76%
Wins / losses322 / 101
Est. fees paid−$2
Open positions3
Markets (closed)423 / 426
History coverage138d
Avg bet$16
Trades / day9.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit92%
Chart Positions 3 History 423 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$15
7 days−$31
14 days−$49
30 days−$47
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30? No 72¢ 68¢ $8 $8 −$1 (-6%)
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No 51¢ 54¢ $7 $7 +$0 (+6%)
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 10.5 Under 51¢ 56¢ $5 $6 +$1 (+10%)
Spread: Spurs (-4.5) Spurs 47¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 6.5 Over 48¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Athletics vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 9.5 Under 60¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Spurs vs. Knicks Spurs 84¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays Boston Red Sox 51¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 214.5 Over 60¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Spread: Spurs (-10.5) Spurs 75¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 215.5 Over 51¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Seattle Storm vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 159.5 Over 60¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Spread: New York Mets (-1.5) San Diego Padres 41¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Spread: Spurs (-5.5) Spurs 55¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay Jun 13 $5 $0 -4%
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 6.5 Jun 12 $16 −$15 -98%
Spread: Spurs (-11.5) Jun 11 $5 +$2 +46%
Spread: Spurs (-10.5) Jun 11 $5 −$5 -99%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets Jun 11 $10 +$5 +57%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $5 −$5 -100%
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 214.5 Jun 11 $5 −$5 -99%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins Jun 10 $11 +$1 +11%
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays Jun 09 $6 −$6 -98%
Spread: Spurs (-4.5) Jun 09 $6 −$6 -98%
Spread: Spurs (-5.5) Jun 09 $8 −$8 -99%
Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-1.5) Jun 07 $9 +$15 +165%
Spread: New York Mets (-1.5) Jun 07 $5 −$5 -100%
Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays Jun 07 $5 +$1 +20%
Seattle Storm vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 159.5 Jun 06 $5 −$5 -100%
Spread: PortlandFire (-3.5) Jun 06 $5 +$2 +44%
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 215.5 Jun 06 $10 −$10 -100%
Athletics vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 9.5 Jun 05 $5 −$5 -99%
Spread: Spurs (-4.5) Jun 04 $10 +$8 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9PM ET Jun 03 $17 −$11 -66%
Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5 Jun 03 $7 +$3 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5PM ET Jun 01 $12 $0 +0%
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31? Jun 01 $7 $0 +0%
Will Club Bolívar win on 2026-05-19? Jun 01 $11 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1AM ET May 30 $15 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11PM ET May 29 $11 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9PM ET May 29 $11 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4PM ET May 28 $17 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3PM ET May 28 $18 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9PM ET May 27 $13 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7AM ET May 22 $13 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6AM ET May 21 $16 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7AM ET May 20 $17 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10PM ET May 20 $15 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4PM ET May 20 $14 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7AM ET May 19 $11 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3AM ET May 19 $11 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5PM ET May 18 $11 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7AM ET May 18 $13 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3AM ET May 18 $11 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9PM ET May 18 $16 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5PM ET May 18 $11 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6AM ET May 17 $14 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11PM ET May 17 $17 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5AM ET May 16 $19 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6AM ET May 16 $12 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1PM ET May 15 $6 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8AM ET May 15 $7 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5AM ET May 15 $11 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4AM ET May 15 $8 $0 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 47% −$21
politics 19% −$3
other 13% +$3
sports 12% −$33
world 8% −$4
economics 1% $0
culture 0% $0
finance 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 10.5 BUY Under 51¢ $6 45m
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30? BUY No 72¢ $8 1h
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay SELL No 80¢ $5 1h
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 6.5 BUY Over 48¢ $10 40h
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 6.5 BUY Over 48¢ $5 40h
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30? SELL No 72¢ $9 47h
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30? BUY No 79¢ $10 47h
Spread: Spurs (-11.5) BUY Knicks 68¢ $5 2d
Spread: Spurs (-10.5) BUY Spurs 75¢ $5 2d
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Spurs 84¢ $5 2d
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 214.5 BUY Over 60¢ $5 2d
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets BUY St. Louis Cardinals 63¢ $10 2d
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins BUY Miami Marlins 90¢ $1 3d
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins BUY Miami Marlins 90¢ $10 3d
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays BUY Boston Red Sox 51¢ $6 3d
Spread: Spurs (-4.5) BUY Spurs 47¢ $6 4d
Spread: Spurs (-5.5) BUY Spurs 55¢ $8 4d
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay BUY No 83¢ $5 5d
Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-1.5) BUY Los Angeles Angels 37¢ $9 5d
Spread: New York Mets (-1.5) BUY San Diego Padres 41¢ $5 5d
Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays BUY Toronto Blue Jays 83¢ $5 5d
Seattle Storm vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 159.5 BUY Over 60¢ $2 7d
Seattle Storm vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 159.5 BUY Over 60¢ $3 7d
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 215.5 BUY Over 51¢ $0 7d
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 215.5 BUY Over 51¢ $10 7d
Spread: PortlandFire (-3.5) BUY Phoenix Mercury 69¢ $5 7d
Athletics vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 9.5 BUY Under 60¢ $5 8d
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? BUY No 51¢ $7 8d
Spread: Spurs (-4.5) BUY Knicks 56¢ $10 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9PM ET SELL Down 35¢ $6 10d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +3%
net ROI/market (all)-12.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 14 -36.1% -42.1% 36% 36% -37.3%
≤30d 53 -12.9% -21.2% 75% 15% -17.0%
≤90d 253 -2.9% -12.1% 78% 4% -10.6%
all 423 -2.8% -12.0% 76% 3% -10.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover9.1 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -12.0% 3% -10.3%
10% -20.4% 1% -18.9%
15% -28.1% 1% -26.7%
20% -35.2% 1% -33.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $20.94 · official $20.94 (match) · 2026 history records