Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:53:13+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

99
0x996b…abf7
sports · 733 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$375 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$360 · open −$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$81
Realized−$360
Unrealized−$2
Win rate (resolved)85%
Wins / losses617 / 112
Est. fees paid−$74
Open positions4
Markets (closed)729 / 733
History coverage45d
Avg bet$41
Trades / day19.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit97%
Chart Positions 4 History 729 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$187
7 days−$172
14 days−$275
30 days−$336
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Hanwha Life Esports 95¢ 100¢ $28 $30 +$1 (+5%)
Bratislava: Petr Brunclik vs Vitaliy Sachko Vitaliy Sachko 97¢ 100¢ $26 $27 +$1 (+3%)
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Leyre Romero Gormaz Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva 93¢ 80¢ $26 $22 −$4 (-15%)
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard Daniil Medvedev 97¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+3%)
Lyon: Tristan Boyer vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo Tristan Boyer 95¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+4%)
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Los Angeles Dodgers 97¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+3%)
Stuttgart Open: Martin Landaluce vs Taylor Fritz Martin Landaluce 88¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Will Charlotte FC vs. New York City FC end in a draw? Yes 22¢ 0¢ $23 $0 −$23 (-100%)
LoL: PCIFIC vs SU Esports (BO3) - TCL Regular Season PCIFIC 14¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
ITF San Gregorio: Nadia Podoroska vs Tahlia Kokkinis Tahlia Kokkinis 91¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Will Chicago Fire FC vs. Toronto FC end in a draw? Yes 18¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Texas Rangers Arizona Diamondbacks 96¢ 0¢ $74 $0 −$74 (-100%)
Knicks vs. Spurs Spurs 90¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
LoL: Gen.G vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 Nongshim Red Force 11¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Orlando City SC vs. Philadelphia Union end in a draw? Yes 13¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs South America Rejects (BO3) - 1win Essence Group A South America Rejects 85¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bengaluru 2: Joshua Charlton vs Ognjen Milic Joshua Charlton 91¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Kansas City Royals vs. Texas Rangers Kansas City Royals 95¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics Athletics 91¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Portland Timbers vs. San Jose Earthquakes end in a draw? Yes 15¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Will Nashville SC vs. New York City FC end in a draw? Yes 15¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Will St. Louis City SC vs. Los Angeles FC end in a draw? Yes 9¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles 97¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
New York Yankees vs. New York Mets New York Yankees 94¢ 0¢ $69 $0 −$69 (-100%)
San Francisco Giants vs. Arizona Diamondbacks San Francisco Giants 87¢ 0¢ $68 $0 −$68 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
ITF Casablanca: Luna Vujovic vs Carlota Martinez Cirez Jun 12 $27 −$8 -28%
Modena: Dominika Salkova vs Katarzyna Kawa Jun 12 $28 +$1 +3%
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard Jun 12 $28 −$9 -31%
Libema Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Dayana Yastremska Jun 12 $28 −$9 -33%
ITF Ceska Lipa: Lucie Havlickova vs Caijsa Hennemann Jun 12 $28 +$3 +10%
Bratislava: Alexander Shevchenko vs Maxim Mrva Jun 12 $28 +$2 +6%
Libema Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Adrian Mannarino Jun 12 $28 +$1 +3%
Cattolica: Jesper de Jong vs Marco Cecchinato Jun 12 $27 +$1 +3%
Libema Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Gabriela Ruse Jun 12 $28 +$1 +4%
ITF Guimaraes: Ariana Arseneault vs Katarina Kuzmova Jun 12 $27 +$1 +4%
ITF kiseljak: Vladyslav Orlov vs Alen Mujakic Jun 12 $27 +$1 +2%
Lyon: Dali Blanch vs David Jorda Sanchis Jun 12 $27 +$1 +3%
ITF Guimaraes: Katherine Sebov vs Manon Leonard Jun 12 $28 +$1 +5%
Libema Open: Caty McNally vs Solana Sierra Jun 12 $27 +$1 +3%
ITF Hurghada: Anastasia Tikhonova vs Sandra Samir Jun 12 $28 +$1 +3%
ITF Varnamo: Gilles Arnaud Bailly vs Aristotelis Thanos Jun 12 $28 −$11 -39%
ITF Wuning: Sonja Zhiyenbayeva vs Yujia Huang Jun 12 $28 +$2 +7%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 12 $28 −$9 -32%
ITF Cuiaba: Luiza Fullana vs Marjorie Souza Jun 12 $28 +$1 +3%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals Jun 11 $28 +$1 +4%
Tucuman: Thiago Cigarran vs Juan Estevez Jun 11 $28 +$4 +16%
Birmingham: Nikola Bartunkova vs Mika Stojsavljevic Jun 11 $34 −$15 -44%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $33 −$6 -18%
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 11 $31 −$19 -60%
Libema Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Botic van de Zandschulp Jun 11 $31 −$10 -31%
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers Jun 11 $29 −$6 -20%
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Talia Gibson vs Alina Charaeva Jun 11 $34 −$7 -20%
Libema Open: Robin Montgomery vs Greet Minnen Jun 11 $28 −$14 -52%
Birmingham: Nikola Bartunkova vs Ashlyn Krueger Jun 11 $34 −$8 -24%
Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Jun 11 $33 −$10 -29%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 11 $35 −$12 -35%
Birmingham: Arthur Fery vs Yunchaokete Bu Jun 11 $34 −$9 -26%
ITF Cuiaba: Salvador Price vs Nick Hardt Jun 11 $35 +$1 +3%
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies Jun 11 $28 +$2 +7%
Tucuman: Santiago Rodriguez Taverna vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi Jun 11 $28 +$3 +11%
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers Jun 11 $27 +$1 +4%
ITF Decatur: Zuzanna Pawlikowska vs Jaedan Brown Jun 11 $28 +$2 +8%
Tucuman: Guido Justo vs Hernan Casanova Jun 11 $27 +$2 +6%
ITF Decatur: Maria Sholokhova vs Anna Rogers Jun 11 $27 +$1 +5%
ITF Ceska Lipa: Denisa Zoldakova vs Raluca Georgiana Serban Jun 11 $27 +$2 +6%
Tucuman: Eduardo Ribeiro vs Johan Alexander Rodriguez Jun 11 $27 +$3 +12%
ITF Nice: Masha Lazarenko vs Alina Granwehr Jun 11 $27 +$2 +6%
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Varvara Lepchenko Jun 11 $27 +$1 +4%
ITF Wichita: Pavle Marinkov vs Duncan Chan Jun 11 $27 +$1 +2%
Modena: Tamara Zidansek vs Nuria Brancaccio Jun 11 $28 +$1 +3%
Stuttgart Open: Martin Landaluce vs Taylor Fritz Jun 11 $28 −$6 -22%
ITF Nice: Alevtina Ibragimova vs Denislava Glushkova Jun 11 $28 +$1 +5%
ITF San Gregorio: Nadia Podoroska vs Tahlia Kokkinis Jun 11 $28 −$11 -40%
Bratislava: Maxim Mrva vs Chun-Hsin Tseng Jun 11 $28 +$1 +4%
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Marton Fucsovics Jun 11 $27 +$1 +2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 97% −$528
other 3% +$166
world 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Leyre Romero Gormaz BUY Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva 93¢ $26 31m
Bratislava: Petr Brunclik vs Vitaliy Sachko BUY Vitaliy Sachko 97¢ $26 33m
Lyon: Tristan Boyer vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo SELL Tristan Boyer 47¢ $13 40m
ITF Casablanca: Luna Vujovic vs Carlota Martinez Cirez SELL Luna Vujovic 68¢ $20 47m
Lyon: Tristan Boyer vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo BUY Tristan Boyer 95¢ $27 53m
ITF Casablanca: Luna Vujovic vs Carlota Martinez Cirez BUY Luna Vujovic 94¢ $27 1h
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard SELL Daniil Medvedev 66¢ $18 1h
Libema Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Dayana Yastremska SELL Ajla Tomljanovic 64¢ $19 1h
Libema Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Dayana Yastremska BUY Ajla Tomljanovic 94¢ $28 1h
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard BUY Daniil Medvedev 97¢ $28 1h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Hanwha Life Esports 95¢ $28 1h
Modena: Dominika Salkova vs Katarzyna Kawa BUY Katarzyna Kawa 97¢ $28 2h
Bratislava: Alexander Shevchenko vs Maxim Mrva BUY Alexander Shevchenko 94¢ $28 2h
ITF Ceska Lipa: Lucie Havlickova vs Caijsa Hennemann BUY Caijsa Hennemann 91¢ $28 2h
Libema Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Adrian Mannarino BUY Adrian Mannarino 97¢ $28 2h
Cattolica: Jesper de Jong vs Marco Cecchinato BUY Jesper de Jong 97¢ $27 3h
ITF kiseljak: Vladyslav Orlov vs Alen Mujakic BUY Vladyslav Orlov 97¢ $27 3h
Libema Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Gabriela Ruse BUY Barbora Krejcikova 96¢ $28 3h
ITF Guimaraes: Ariana Arseneault vs Katarina Kuzmova BUY Katarina Kuzmova 96¢ $27 3h
Lyon: Dali Blanch vs David Jorda Sanchis BUY David Jorda Sanchis 97¢ $27 3h
ITF Guimaraes: Katherine Sebov vs Manon Leonard BUY Manon Leonard 95¢ $28 3h
Libema Open: Caty McNally vs Solana Sierra BUY Caty McNally 97¢ $27 3h
ITF Varnamo: Gilles Arnaud Bailly vs Aristotelis Thanos SELL Gilles Arnaud Bailly 61¢ $17 3h
ITF Varnamo: Gilles Arnaud Bailly vs Aristotelis Thanos BUY Gilles Arnaud Bailly 97¢ $28 4h
ITF Hurghada: Anastasia Tikhonova vs Sandra Samir BUY Anastasia Tikhonova 97¢ $28 4h
ITF Wuning: Sonja Zhiyenbayeva vs Yujia Huang BUY Yujia Huang 94¢ $28 5h
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates SELL Los Angeles Dodgers 65¢ $19 13h
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates BUY Los Angeles Dodgers 97¢ $28 13h
ITF Cuiaba: Luiza Fullana vs Marjorie Souza BUY Luiza Fullana 97¢ $28 14h
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals BUY Texas Rangers 96¢ $28 15h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +11%
net ROI/market (all)-12.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 236 -6.0% -15.0% 81% 10% -10.1%
≤30d 580 -3.7% -12.9% 84% 12% -9.7%
≤90d 729 -3.7% -12.8% 85% 11% -9.6%
all 729 -3.7% -12.8% 85% 11% -9.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover19.9 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -12.8% 11% -9.6%
10% -21.2% 2% -18.2%
15% -28.8% 1% -26.1%
20% -35.8% 0% -33.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $81.00 · official $79.18 · 1539 history records