trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 12 | +50.2% | +35.9% | 58% | 58% | +31.0% |
| ≤30d | 13 | +38.7% | +25.5% | 54% | 54% | +28.7% |
| ≤90d | 21 | +24.4% | +12.6% | 52% | 52% | +23.6% |
| all | 21 | +24.4% | +12.6% | 52% | 52% | +23.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +12.6% | 52% | +23.6% |
| 10% | +1.8% | 48% | +11.7% |
| 15% | -8.0% | 48% | +0.9% |
| 20% | -17.1% | 48% | -9.0% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19? | Yes | 48¢ | 26¢ | $50 | $28 | −$22 (-45%) |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026? | Yes | 22¢ | 17¢ | $20 | $15 | −$5 (-23%) |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 8¢ | 12¢ | $10 | $14 | +$4 (+40%) |
| Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 5¢ | 6¢ | $10 | $12 | +$2 (+18%) |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 11¢ | 13¢ | $10 | $11 | +$1 (+12%) |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 56¢ | 20¢ | $30 | $10 | −$20 (-65%) |
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 4¢ | 4¢ | $10 | $10 | +$0 (+4%) |
| Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 9¢ | 6¢ | $10 | $7 | −$3 (-35%) |
| Türkiye to score first vs. Paraguay? | Yes | 58¢ | 0¢ | $50 | $0 | −$50 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scotland vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 AND Morocco to score first vs. Scotland? | Jun 20 | $51 | +$55 | +109% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 19 | $51 | +$31 | +62% |
| United States vs. Australia: United States O/U 1.5 | Jun 19 | $51 | +$39 | +76% |
| Will Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw? | Jun 19 | $51 | −$50 | -98% |
| Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score AND Will S | Jun 18 | $31 | +$67 | +220% |
| Czechia vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 | Jun 18 | $51 | +$40 | +79% |
| Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) | Jun 18 | $51 | −$50 | -99% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May? | Jun 18 | $20 | +$17 | +82% |
| Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 18 | $51 | −$50 | -99% |
| Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw? | Jun 17 | $51 | +$243 | +474% |
| Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $47 | −$46 | -98% |
| Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $51 | −$50 | -97% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May? | May 24 | $11 | −$10 | -94% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 10? | May 09 | $11 | −$10 | -94% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 9? | May 09 | $11 | −$10 | -94% |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June | May 09 | $30 | +$6 | +20% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | May 09 | $30 | +$19 | +64% |
| Will Trump visit China by May 15? | May 09 | $10 | −$7 | -67% |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th? | Apr 08 | $30 | −$30 | -100% |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 30? | Apr 08 | $20 | +$24 | +122% |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March? | Apr 08 | $20 | +$34 | +171% |