Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T00:36:24+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

99
0x995f…9c43
sports · 3 markets active 1h ago
4.5score
+$94 +28%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$94 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY sports specialist⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$94
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)67%
Wins / losses2 / 1
Est. fees paid−$4
Open positions0
Markets (closed)3 / 3
History coverage1d
Avg bet$113
Trades / day6.0
Drawdown8%
Kalshi-fit67%
Chart Positions 0 History 3 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$94
7 days+$94
14 days+$94
30 days+$94
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5 Jun 13 $140 +$47 +33%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $103 −$8 -7%
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score Jun 13 $97 +$55 +57%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 70% +$102
other 30% −$8
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5 SELL Under 97¢ $187 40m
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 71¢ $140 1h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 39¢ $95 1h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 40¢ $103 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score SELL Yes 78¢ $152 2h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 48¢ $97 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +67%
net ROI/market (all)+15.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 3 +27.5% +15.4% 67% 67% +15.5%
≤30d 3 +27.5% +15.4% 67% 67% +15.5%
≤90d 3 +27.5% +15.4% 67% 67% +15.5%
all 3 +27.5% +15.4% 67% 67% +15.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover6.0 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to10%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +15.4% 67% +15.5%
10% +4.3% 67% +4.5%
15% -5.8% 33% -5.6%
20% -15.0% 33% -14.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 6 history records