Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T10:06:33+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

99
0x9958…b9ac
sports · 763 markets active 1h ago
1.0score
−$4,836 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$4,832 · open −$4
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$352
Realized−$4,832
Unrealized−$4
Win rate (resolved)59%
Wins / losses450 / 312
Whale WR (big bets)86%
Est. fees paid−$1,595
Open positions1
Markets (closed)762 / 763
History coverage112d
Avg bet$181
Trades / day16.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit94%
Chart Positions 1 History 762 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$368
7 days−$391
14 days+$81
30 days−$1,221
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
ODI Series India vs Afghanistan: India vs Afghanistan Afghanistan 31¢ 30¢ $356 $352 −$4 (-1%)
US Lecce vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 1.5 Over 52¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Chennai Super Kings Chennai Super Kings 50¢ 0¢ $104 $0 −$104 (-100%)
Kashiwa Reysol vs. Kyōto Sanga FC: O/U 1.5 Over 44¢ 0¢ $117 $0 −$117 (-100%)
Canadiens vs. Lightning Lightning 60¢ 0¢ $168 $0 −$168 (-100%)
Lakers vs. Rockets Rockets 68¢ 0¢ $115 $0 −$115 (-100%)
Chicago White Sox vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks 56¢ 0¢ $148 $0 −$148 (-100%)
Will Glasgow Warriors/Connacht win? Yes 56¢ 0¢ $295 $0 −$295 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs GamerLegion (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group B FURIA 70¢ 0¢ $140 $0 −$140 (-100%)
Mexico vs. Ghana: O/U 2.5 Over 20¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
LoL: Fnatic vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - LEC Regular Season Fnatic 61¢ 0¢ $165 $0 −$165 (-100%)
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes Hurricanes 61¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
LoL: Galions vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO1) - LFL Regular Season Galions 77¢ 0¢ $153 $0 −$153 (-100%)
Knicks vs. 76ers 76ers 58¢ 0¢ $293 $0 −$293 (-100%)
LoL: DN SOOPers vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winner DN SOOPers 55¢ 0¢ $138 $0 −$138 (-100%)
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs GAM Esports - Game 2 Winner GAM Esports 57¢ 0¢ $176 $0 −$176 (-100%)
Clube do Remo vs. CA Paranaense: O/U 3.5 Over 47¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
LoL: TLN Pirates vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO3) - LFL Playoffs TLN Pirates 24¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - LEC Regular Season Natus Vincere 32¢ 0¢ $151 $0 −$151 (-100%)
Colorado Rockies vs. Houston Astros Houston Astros 60¢ 0¢ $84 $0 −$84 (-100%)
LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Vitality.Bee (BO1) - LFL Regular Season Vitality.Bee 52¢ 0¢ $179 $0 −$179 (-100%)
LoL: Team WE vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winner Anyones Legend 67¢ 0¢ $134 $0 −$134 (-100%)
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - ACL X ESL Challenger China Playoffs Xtreme Gaming 62¢ 0¢ $154 $0 −$154 (-100%)
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winner Xtreme Gaming 58¢ 0¢ $103 $0 −$103 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage TheMongolz 55¢ 0¢ $275 $0 −$275 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $246 +$118 +48%
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels Jun 13 $240 −$237 -99%
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 13 $291 −$157 -54%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 12 $918 +$78 +8%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 12 $304 +$262 +86%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $276 −$273 -99%
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox Jun 12 $304 −$15 -5%
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes Jun 12 $177 +$114 +65%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $200 +$87 +44%
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 11 $304 −$300 -99%
LoL: LOUD vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Quali Jun 11 $196 −$194 -99%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals Jun 11 $304 −$201 -66%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $303 +$180 +60%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins Jun 11 $242 +$170 +70%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $361 +$287 +79%
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox Jun 11 $247 −$244 -99%
Will England win on 2026-06-10? Jun 11 $300 +$44 +14%
England vs. Costa Rica: O/U 2.5 Jun 10 $147 +$111 +75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 10 $25 +$9 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 10 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 10 $26 −$25 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 10 $26 −$25 -97%
UD Almería vs. CD Castellón: O/U 3.5 Jun 10 $139 +$123 +88%
Valorant: FUT Esports vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stage Jun 10 $140 −$138 -99%
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 10 $203 +$175 +86%
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians Jun 10 $197 +$163 +83%
LoL: Saigon Warriors vs Saigon Dino (BO3) - Asia Masters Group C Jun 09 $153 −$12 -8%
UD Almería vs. CD Castellón: O/U 2.5 Jun 09 $147 +$117 +80%
UD Almería vs. CD Castellón: O/U 1.5 Jun 09 $150 +$46 +30%
Libema Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Botic van de Zandschulp Jun 09 $161 +$76 +47%
T20 Blast: Essex vs Kent Jun 09 $225 −$168 -75%
Valorant: Dragon Ranger Gaming vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters Londo Jun 09 $198 +$36 +18%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $200 +$159 +79%
LoL: FN Esports vs Verdant (BO1) - EMEA Masters Swiss Stage Jun 09 $859 +$154 +18%
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia Jun 09 $264 −$158 -60%
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 08 $299 −$295 -99%
Valorant: Team Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Grou Jun 08 $203 −$200 -99%
San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs Jun 08 $326 +$175 +54%
Jordan vs. Colombia: O/U 1.5 Jun 08 $153 +$55 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 08 $26 +$13 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 08 $25 −$25 -100%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffs Jun 07 $301 +$114 +38%
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees Jun 07 $160 +$144 +90%
Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs paiN - Map 1 Winner Jun 07 $263 +$201 +76%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $349 +$263 +75%
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $235 −$231 -98%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 3 Winner Jun 07 $215 +$119 +55%
UFC Fight Night: Brendan Allen vs. Edmen Shahbazyan (Middleweight, Mai Jun 07 $222 +$127 +57%
UFC Fight Night: Belal Muhammad vs. Gabriel Bonfim (Welterweight, Main Jun 07 $222 −$219 -99%
UFC Fight Night: Bryce Mitchell vs. Santiago Luna (Bantamweight, Main Jun 07 $248 +$196 +79%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 93% −$4,753
other 7% +$311
world 0% −$295
crypto 0% −$100
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
ODI Series India vs Afghanistan: India vs Afghanistan BUY Afghanistan 31¢ $221 1h
ODI Series India vs Afghanistan: India vs Afghanistan BUY Afghanistan 30¢ $142 1h
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels BUY Tampa Bay Rays 62¢ $240 8h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 67¢ $246 9h
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates SELL Pittsburgh Pirates 26¢ $28 9h
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates SELL Pittsburgh Pirates 27¢ $106 9h
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates BUY Pittsburgh Pirates 57¢ $291 11h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 54¢ $352 17h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major SELL Team Falcons 45¢ $352 18h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 71¢ $566 18h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 58¢ $276 21h
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox SELL Atlanta Braves 42¢ $0 25h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Hanwha Life Esports 53¢ $304 25h
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox SELL Atlanta Braves 50¢ $290 32h
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes BUY Hurricanes 60¢ $177 33h
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox BUY Atlanta Braves 51¢ $304 34h
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles BUY Seattle Mariners 51¢ $304 35h
LoL: LOUD vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Quali BUY LOUD 65¢ $196 35h
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals SELL Kansas City Royals 18¢ $103 35h
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals BUY Kansas City Royals 51¢ $304 37h
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 69¢ $200 38h
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins BUY Miami Marlins 58¢ $242 40h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Team Falcons 62¢ $303 40h
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox BUY Atlanta Braves 58¢ $247 2d
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Knicks 55¢ $361 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET SELL Down 98¢ $34 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Down 72¢ $25 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Down 4¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $26 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $26 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +56%
net ROI/market (all)-13.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 59 -11.4% -19.8% 53% 51% -12.1%
≤30d 203 -8.9% -17.6% 55% 54% -12.7%
≤90d 750 -4.4% -13.5% 59% 56% -12.8%
all 762 -3.9% -13.0% 59% 56% -12.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover16.5 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -13.0% 56% -12.6%
10% -21.3% 52% -20.9%
15% -28.9% 45% -28.6%
20% -35.9% 35% -35.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $352.15 · official $352.15 (match) · 2142 history records