Wallet analysis

2026-06-16T01:22:21+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
99 0x9955…d5a7 crypto 64 markets active 2h ago coverage 1d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (170 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$161 (+17%) realized +$161 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +5% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -20% what you keep after slip
Net edge-20%after slip
Net WR34%break-even
Win rate34%22W / 42L
Drawdown53%max
Avg bet$15per market
Trades / day170.0pace
Fees−$3est.
Kalshi-fit91%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 83% −$13
sports 12% +$106
other 5% +$6
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (170 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +34%
net ROI/market (all)-5.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 64 +4.6% -5.4% 34% 34% -0.0%
≤30d 64 +4.6% -5.4% 34% 34% -0.0%
≤90d 64 +4.6% -5.4% 34% 34% -0.0%
all 64 +4.6% -5.4% 34% 34% -0.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover170.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -5.4% 34% -0.0%
10% ← realistic here -14.4% 34% -9.6%
15% -22.7% 34% -18.3%
20% -30.3% 34% -26.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 16% · top 2 31% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +10% fresh edge ✓
Fragile wins
0% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +5% · $-wt +10% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -10% → late +19% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
2.3 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$31 vs −$14 · ×2.23 wins bigger than losses
Profit factor
×1.17 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$161
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)34%
Wins / losses22 / 42
Est. fees paid−$3
Open positions0
Markets (closed)64 / 64
History coverage1d
Avg bet$15
Trades / day170.0
Drawdown53%
Kalshi-fit91%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 64 Trades
no open positions (27 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 15 $15 −$14 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 15 $18 −$17 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 15 $15 +$17 +116%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 15 $13 −$12 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 15 $3 +$5 +149%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 15 $6 +$12 +185%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 15 $13 −$12 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 15 $13 −$12 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 15 $4 +$6 +139%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 15 $2 +$6 +266%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 15 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 15 $7 +$20 +277%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 15 $2 +$7 +326%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 -11%
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15? Jun 15 $15 −$1 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 15 $5 +$7 +134%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 15 $32 −$30 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 15 $21 −$20 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 15 $16 −$15 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 15 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 15 $11 −$10 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 15 $36 +$82 +226%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 15 $31 −$30 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 15 $31 −$30 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 15 $42 −$42 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 15 $10 +$8 +81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 15 $42 +$102 +243%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 15 $37 −$37 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -94%
Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw? Jun 15 $41 +$112 +273%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 15 $11 −$10 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 15 $11 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 15 $10 +$15 +140%
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15? Jun 15 $8 −$6 -74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 15 $31 +$71 +226%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 15 $16 −$15 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 15 $21 +$33 +158%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 15 $18 +$26 +146%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 15 $32 −$31 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 15 $11 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 15 $16 +$16 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 15 $21 +$26 +126%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 15 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 15 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 15 $21 +$37 +178%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 15 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 15 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Down 20¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Down 17¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Down 19¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Down 28¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Down 32¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $6 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $31 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Down 20¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Down 23¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $8 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $18 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 26¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Down 21¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Down 24¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Down 30¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $2 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 200 history records