Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T06:06:01+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
99 0x9944…e2cc crypto 595 markets active 7d ago coverage 26d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (76 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$258 (-11%) realized −$258 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -12% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -32% what you keep after slip
Net edge-32%after slip
Net WR31%break-even
Win rate48%286W / 309L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$4per market
Trades / day76.0pace
Fees−$1est.
Kalshi-fit99%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days−$146
14 days−$200
30 days−$348
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 91% −$254
other 7% −$74
sports 2% −$20
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (76 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +31%
net ROI/market (all)-20.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 130 -14.3% -22.5% 47% 32% -34.1%
≤30d 595 -12.2% -20.6% 48% 31% -22.7%
≤90d 595 -12.2% -20.6% 48% 31% -22.7%
all 595 -12.2% -20.6% 48% 31% -22.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover76.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -20.6% 31% -22.7%
10% ← realistic here -28.2% 24% -30.1%
15% -35.1% 18% -36.8%
20% -41.5% 12% -43.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 5% · top 2 9% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -14% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
35% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -12% · $-wt -14% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -11% → late -13% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
2.1 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$2 vs −$3 · ×0.61 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.56 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

26d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$258
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)48%
Wins / losses286 / 309
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions0
Markets (closed)595 / 595
History coverage26d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day76.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 595 Trades
no open positions (2 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? Jun 10 $101 −$98 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 10 $3 +$2 +84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 10 $3 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 10 $4 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 10 $8 −$1 -12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 -16%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 -27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 10 $6 −$2 -40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 10 $4 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 10 $3 −$1 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 10 $3 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 10 $13 −$7 -59%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 10 $3 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 10 $6 −$2 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 10 $11 +$2 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 10 $3 $0 -2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 10 $1 +$1 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 10 $7 +$1 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -93%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 -10%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 10 $2 −$1 -55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 10 $12 −$4 -35%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 10 $2 +$1 +32%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 10 $6 $0 -7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 10 $3 −$1 -20%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 10 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 10 $4 $0 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 10 $3 $0 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 10 $3 $0 +15%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 10 $6 −$1 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 10 $7 +$1 +11%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 10 $3 +$1 +17%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +34%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 10 $2 −$1 -35%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +10%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +8%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 11¢ $90 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET SELL Up 1¢ $0 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET SELL Down 18¢ $0 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET SELL Down 94¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET SELL Down 33¢ $3 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Down 28¢ $3 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET SELL Down 86¢ $3 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET SELL Down 76¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET SELL Down 75¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET SELL Down 27¢ $3 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET SELL Down 72¢ $1 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 28¢ $3 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET SELL Up 85¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $2 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET SELL Down 67¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET SELL Down 38¢ $3 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $3 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET SELL Up 62¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $1 6d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3260 history records