trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 11 | -34.3% | -40.5% | 36% | 36% | -47.8% |
| ≤30d | 11 | -34.3% | -40.5% | 36% | 36% | -47.8% |
| ≤90d | 11 | -34.3% | -40.5% | 36% | 36% | -47.8% |
| all | 15 | -51.8% | -56.4% | 27% | 27% | -76.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -56.4% | 27% | -76.9% |
| 10% | -60.6% | 20% | -79.2% |
| 15% | -64.4% | 20% | -81.2% |
| 20% | -67.9% | 20% | -83.0% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-21? | Yes | 67¢ | 68¢ | $614 | $619 | +$5 (+1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Germany to score first vs. Côte d'Ivoire? | Jun 20 | $719 | −$712 | -99% |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 20 | $620 | +$100 | +16% |
| Korea Republic to score first vs. Mexico? | Jun 18 | $48 | −$47 | -98% |
| Will Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw? | Jun 18 | $41 | −$40 | -98% |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 18 | $41 | −$40 | -98% |
| Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 18 | $30 | +$17 | +55% |
| Czechia to score first vs. South Africa? | Jun 18 | $30 | +$21 | +70% |
| Will South Africa win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 18 | $15 | −$10 | -63% |
| Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 18 | $41 | +$60 | +146% |
| Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $19 | −$19 | -97% |
| Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw? | Jun 17 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Will Trump say "Deal" 25+ times during events with UK Prime Minister o | Sep 18 | $1,587 | −$1,587 | -100% |
| Will iPhone 17 cost more than iPhone 16? | Sep 09 | $1,714 | −$321 | -19% |
| Will MrBeast raise $40M for clean water by August 31? | Sep 01 | $145 | −$145 | -100% |
| 2025 August second hottest on record? | Aug 18 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |