Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T09:17:45+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

99
0x993c…6787
finance · 82 markets active 0h ago
2.0score
+$44,518 +25%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$38,450 · open −$3,931
avoidriskycopy
✓ COPY-WORTHY ⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$94,062
Realized+$38,450
Unrealized−$3,931
Win rate (resolved)73%
Wins / losses27 / 10
Whale WR (big bets)100%
Est. fees paid−$17
Open positions73
Markets (closed)37 / 82
Avg bet$2,205
Trades / day253.8
Drawdown2%
Kalshi-fit97%
Chart Positions 73 History 37 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1,274
7 days+$21,155
14 days+$38,450
30 days+$38,450
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June? No 79¢ 87¢ $15,082 $16,511 +$1,429 (+9%)
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? Yes 27¢ 44¢ $8,075 $13,350 +$5,275 (+65%)
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in June? No 90¢ 80¢ $10,852 $9,660 −$1,192 (-11%)
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? No 90¢ 94¢ $8,959 $9,450 +$491 (+5%)
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in June? No 82¢ 56¢ $9,023 $6,105 −$2,918 (-32%)
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026? Yes 37¢ 39¢ $5,559 $5,850 +$291 (+5%)
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026? Yes 37¢ 62¢ $2,220 $3,750 +$1,530 (+69%)
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in June? No 96¢ 94¢ $3,833 $3,746 −$87 (-2%)
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? Yes 11¢ 14¢ $2,148 $2,730 +$582 (+27%)
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in June? No 47¢ 16¢ $7,373 $2,412 −$4,961 (-67%)
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes 21¢ 34¢ $1,504 $2,345 +$841 (+56%)
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? No 75¢ 80¢ $1,883 $2,012 +$130 (+7%)
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes 15¢ 18¢ $1,187 $1,480 +$293 (+25%)
Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration before 2027? No 88¢ 88¢ $1,175 $1,171 −$3 (-0%)
Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027? Yes 41¢ 28¢ $1,640 $1,146 −$493 (-30%)
Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027? No 55¢ 56¢ $1,104 $1,120 +$16 (+1%)
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in June? Yes 9¢ 3¢ $3,032 $993 −$2,039 (-67%)
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes 26¢ 46¢ $520 $930 +$410 (+79%)
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes 74¢ 77¢ $740 $770 +$30 (+4%)
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? No 75¢ 74¢ $746 $735 −$11 (-1%)
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? No 73¢ 71¢ $730 $710 −$20 (-3%)
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No 61¢ 68¢ $615 $675 +$60 (+10%)
Will Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027? No 70¢ 65¢ $699 $650 −$49 (-7%)
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in June? Yes 20¢ 8¢ $1,285 $480 −$806 (-63%)
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? No 27¢ 22¢ $547 $440 −$107 (-20%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in June? Jun 12 $4,037 +$175 +4%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in June? Jun 12 $227 +$241 +106%
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June? Jun 11 $335 +$38 +11%
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June? Jun 11 $2,117 +$37 +2%
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June? Jun 11 $1,105 +$54 +5%
Iran closes its airspace by June 8? Jun 11 $3,385 +$754 +22%
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 12? Jun 11 $262 +$26 +10%
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm el Jun 10 $480 −$50 -10%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Jun 08 $1,320 +$180 +14%
Iran closes its airspace by June 15? Jun 07 $666 +$133 +20%
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June? Jun 06 $2,826 +$20,174 +714%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in June? Jun 05 $697 −$606 -87%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in June? Jun 04 $866 +$35 +4%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June? Jun 04 $1,594 +$249 +16%
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Jun 04 $190 +$45 +24%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in June? Jun 03 $72 +$30 +42%
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7? Jun 03 $3,850 +$5,334 +139%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 Week of June 1 2026? Jun 03 $20 −$20 -100%
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June? Jun 02 $720 +$160 +22%
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June? Jun 02 $671 +$120 +18%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May? Jun 02 $155 −$91 -59%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May? Jun 02 $66 −$61 -92%
Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30? Jun 01 $872 +$43 +5%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? Jun 01 $220 +$71 +32%
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29? Jun 01 $38 +$67 +177%
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 30? Jun 01 $826 −$239 -29%
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? Jun 01 $764 +$232 +30%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May? Jun 01 $30 −$30 -100%
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026? Jun 01 $3 $0 +14%
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 7, 2026? Jun 01 $10 +$54 +530%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? Jun 01 $1,064 −$498 -47%
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026? Jun 01 $6,839 +$8,097 +118%
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026? Jun 01 $2,057 +$2,002 +97%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in June? Jun 01 $543 −$8 -2%
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3? May 31 $255 +$1,285 +503%
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31? May 30 $2,194 +$416 +19%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May? May 29 $4 $0 -4%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
finance 59% +$16,715
world 37% +$18,071
politics 3% −$263
other 2% +$67
sports 0% −$71
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in June? BUY Yes 6¢ $24 0m
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? BUY No 31¢ $20 5m
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra BUY Yes 26¢ $64 21m
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? BUY No 31¢ $31 22m
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? BUY Yes 41¢ $820 38m
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in June? BUY Yes 11¢ $220 46m
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in June? BUY No 11¢ $59 47m
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in June? BUY No 11¢ $2 47m
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in June? BUY No 12¢ $146 47m
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in June? BUY No 12¢ $95 47m
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra BUY Yes 26¢ $13 51m
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra BUY Yes 26¢ $0 56m
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra BUY Yes 26¢ $1 1h
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra BUY Yes 26¢ $57 1h
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra BUY Yes 26¢ $32 1h
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra BUY Yes 26¢ $93 1h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12? BUY Yes 11¢ $43 1h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12? BUY Yes 11¢ $8 1h
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland? BUY Yes 34¢ $34 1h
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? BUY Yes 11¢ $47 1h
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? BUY Yes 11¢ $17 1h
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in June? SELL No 97¢ $1,929 1h
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? BUY Yes 11¢ $13 1h
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? BUY Yes 11¢ $3 1h
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? BUY Yes 11¢ $3 1h
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? BUY Yes 11¢ $3 1h
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? BUY Yes 11¢ $3 1h
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? BUY Yes 11¢ $25 1h
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in June? BUY No 5¢ $25 2h
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in June? BUY No 38¢ $380 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
worth copying (survives realistic slippage)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +57%
net ROI/market (all)+43.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 12 +67.6% +51.6% 83% 50% +100.1%
≤30d 37 +58.6% +43.5% 73% 57% +74.5%
≤90d 37 +58.6% +43.5% 73% 57% +74.5%
all 37 +58.6% +43.5% 73% 57% +74.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover253.8 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +43.5% 57% +74.5%
10% +29.8% 35% +57.8%
15% ← realistic here +17.2% 24% +42.6%
20% +5.7% 22% +28.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $94,061.65 · official $94,032.73 (match) · 3500 history records