Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T07:58:49+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

99
0x9930…d402
crypto · 21 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$7 -27%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$7 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$7
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)62%
Wins / losses13 / 8
Open positions0
Markets (closed)21 / 21
History coverage1d
Avg bet$1
Trades / day22.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 21 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$7
7 days−$7
14 days−$7
30 days−$7
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 69¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +16%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$2 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$7
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $1 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $1 41m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $1 46m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $1 51m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $1 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $1 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $1 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 82¢ $1 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $1 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 71¢ $1 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $1 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $1 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET SELL Up 40¢ $3 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $5 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 13h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +43%
net ROI/market (all)-32.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 21 -24.9% -32.0% 62% 43% -33.9%
≤30d 21 -24.9% -32.0% 62% 43% -33.9%
≤90d 21 -24.9% -32.0% 62% 43% -33.9%
all 21 -24.9% -32.0% 62% 43% -33.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover22.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -32.0% 43% -33.9%
10% ← realistic here -38.5% 10% -40.2%
15% -44.5% 10% -46.0%
20% -49.9% 5% -51.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 46 history records