Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T20:21:55+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

99
0x992e…24ed
crypto · 269 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$149 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$146 · open −$4
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$483
Realized−$146
Unrealized−$4
Win rate (resolved)87%
Wins / losses230 / 33
Whale WR (big bets)92%
Est. fees paid−$15
Open positions6
Markets (closed)263 / 269
History coverage142d
Avg bet$869
Trades / day4.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 6 History 263 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$54
7 days+$54
14 days+$488
30 days+$477
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? Yes 94¢ 94¢ $314 $313 −$1 (-0%)
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? Yes 89¢ 88¢ $100 $100 −$0 (-0%)
Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026? No 91¢ 90¢ $50 $49 −$0 (-0%)
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 94¢ 94¢ $20 $20 −$0 (-1%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Down 0¢ 52¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+0%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Up 76¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-99%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Down 92¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Down 75¢ 0¢ $1,070 $0 −$1,070 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 13 $40 +$1 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -99%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 13 $49 +$3 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $47 +$2 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 13 $20 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 13 $55 +$2 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 13 $50 +$5 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $94 +$6 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 13 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 13 $110 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $111 +$3 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 13 $101 +$9 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 13 $98 +$4 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 13 $50 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 13 $80 +$3 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 13 $92 +$3 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 13 $81 +$12 +14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 13 $79 +$1 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 13 $77 +$2 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 13 $70 +$2 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 13 $50 +$1 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $73 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 13 $71 +$2 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 13 $61 +$11 +18%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 13 $59 +$2 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$2 +23%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $50 +$4 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 13 $50 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 13 $50 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 13 $130 +$2 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 04 $100 +$1 +1%
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Jun 04 $1,305 +$433 +33%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET May 25 $20 −$18 -92%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET May 25 $12 +$3 +28%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET May 25 $6 $0 +0%
XRP Up or Down - May 25, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET May 25 $9 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET May 25 $13 +$2 +14%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET May 25 $13 +$1 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET May 25 $3 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET May 25 $3 +$3 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET May 25 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET May 25 $12 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - May 25, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET May 25 $12 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET May 25 $9 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET May 25 $2 $0 +12%
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Apr 20 $3,550 +$73 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Apr 20 $1,090 −$1,070 -98%
Solana Up or Down - April 20, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Apr 20 $1,078 +$12 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Apr 20 $1,054 +$25 +2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 87% −$891
sports 8% +$304
politics 4% +$547
tech 1% +$52
other 0% −$52
world 0% −$110
weather 0% +$1
culture 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $1 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $3 2m
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 94¢ $10 4m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $10 7m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $10 7m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $10 7m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $10 7m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $10 14m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $39 17m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $5 19m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 81¢ $5 20m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $47 22m
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 94¢ $10 23m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $20 26m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $55 39m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $30 43m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $10 43m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $10 45m
Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026? BUY No 91¢ $13 47m
Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026? BUY No 90¢ $37 48m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $94 54m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $11 56m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $10 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $4 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $100 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $40 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $50 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $10 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +15%
net ROI/market (all)-10.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 31 -1.8% -11.2% 94% 10% -7.0%
≤30d 46 -1.2% -10.6% 91% 17% +2.9%
≤90d 200 -4.3% -13.4% 89% 10% -9.8%
all 263 -1.4% -10.8% 87% 15% -9.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover4.2 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -10.8% 15% -9.6%
10% -19.3% 6% -18.2%
15% -27.1% 2% -26.1%
20% -34.3% 1% -33.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $482.72 · official $483.56 (match) · 944 history records