Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T10:13:45+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

99
0x9910…8b0e
crypto · 20 markets active 0h ago
0.5score
−$67 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$436 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$436
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)60%
Wins / losses12 / 8
Open positions0
Markets (closed)20 / 20
History coverage1d
Avg bet$370
Trades / day33.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 20 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$436
7 days−$436
14 days−$436
30 days−$436
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Down 74¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $28 $0 −$28 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $458 $0 −$458 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $458 $0 −$458 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Up 75¢ 0¢ $458 $0 −$458 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 14 $93 −$90 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 14 $40 +$53 +132%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 14 $84 −$61 -73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 14 $81 +$21 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 14 $204 −$200 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 14 $476 −$458 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 14 $466 −$458 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 14 $471 +$305 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 14 $473 −$458 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 14 $463 +$77 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 14 $471 +$290 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 14 $467 +$166 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 14 $465 +$120 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 14 $469 +$224 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 14 $205 −$200 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 14 $467 +$153 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 14 $462 +$65 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 14 $638 −$138 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 14 $499 +$61 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 14 $405 +$92 +23%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$436
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET SELL Down 2¢ $3 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $93 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET SELL Up 97¢ $94 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $40 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET SELL Down 12¢ $18 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 33¢ $84 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $81 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $204 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $474 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $466 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $471 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $473 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET SELL Down 98¢ $540 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $463 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $761 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $471 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $633 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $467 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $585 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $465 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $694 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $469 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $205 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $619 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $467 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $462 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET SELL Up 5¢ $14 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $460 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $179 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +60%
net ROI/market (all)-19.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 20 -11.3% -19.8% 60% 60% -14.5%
≤30d 20 -11.3% -19.8% 60% 60% -14.5%
≤90d 20 -11.3% -19.8% 60% 60% -14.5%
all 20 -11.3% -19.8% 60% 60% -14.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover33.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -19.8% 60% -14.5%
10% ← realistic here -27.4% 45% -22.7%
15% -34.4% 25% -30.2%
20% -40.9% 15% -37.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 38 history records