Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T06:24:37+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

99
0x9900…197c
crypto · 66 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$1 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$6 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Net worth$1
Realized−$6
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)34%
Wins / losses22 / 43
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions1
Markets (closed)65 / 66
History coverage1d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day239.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 65 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$6
7 days−$6
14 days−$6
30 days−$6
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia Australia 67¢ 57¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-15%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +60%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +53%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -44%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -36%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -37%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -37%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -40%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -46%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -7%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -43%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -18%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -22%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -45%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -36%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -38%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -44%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 62% −$6
sports 38% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia SELL Australia 65¢ $1 0m
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia SELL Australia 65¢ $1 0m
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia SELL Australia 65¢ $1 1m
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia SELL Australia 65¢ $1 1m
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia SELL Australia 66¢ $1 1m
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia BUY Australia 67¢ $1 3m
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia SELL Australia 66¢ $1 3m
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia BUY Australia 67¢ $1 3m
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia BUY Australia 67¢ $1 3m
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia SELL Australia 67¢ $1 3m
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia SELL Australia 67¢ $1 3m
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia SELL Australia 67¢ $1 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET SELL Up 32¢ $1 3m
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia SELL Australia 67¢ $1 4m
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia BUY Australia 68¢ $1 4m
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia SELL Australia 66¢ $1 4m
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia BUY Australia 67¢ $1 4m
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia SELL Australia 66¢ $1 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $1 4m
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia BUY Australia 67¢ $1 5m
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia BUY Australia 67¢ $1 5m
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia SELL Australia 66¢ $1 5m
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia BUY Australia 67¢ $1 5m
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia SELL Australia 66¢ $1 5m
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia BUY Australia 67¢ $1 5m
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia SELL Australia 66¢ $1 5m
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia SELL Australia 66¢ $1 6m
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia SELL Australia 66¢ $1 6m
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia SELL Australia 66¢ $1 6m
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia BUY Australia 67¢ $1 6m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +17%
net ROI/market (all)-18.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 65 -9.9% -18.5% 34% 17% -18.3%
≤30d 65 -9.9% -18.5% 34% 17% -18.3%
≤90d 65 -9.9% -18.5% 34% 17% -18.3%
all 65 -9.9% -18.5% 34% 17% -18.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover239.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -18.5% 17% -18.3%
10% ← realistic here -26.3% 17% -26.1%
15% -33.4% 9% -33.3%
20% -39.9% 8% -39.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.85 · official $0.85 (match) · 240 history records