Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:38:25+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

98
0x98ff…76ca
crypto · 498 markets active 1h ago
3.0score
+$98 +10%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$98 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$98
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)40%
Wins / losses201 / 297
Open positions0
Markets (closed)498 / 498
History coverage11d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day46.3
Drawdown52%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 498 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$48
7 days+$94
14 days+$98
30 days+$98
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Up 3¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Up 5¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Up 81¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Up 27¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Up 8¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Up 12¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Up 4¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Up 66¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$5 +218%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +166%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +134%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$20 +945%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$5 +220%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$98
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Down 4¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 4¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Up 4¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 28¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 4¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 5¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Up 8¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Down 18¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Up 4¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 20¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Up 3¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 3¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Up 5¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Up 11¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 12¢ $2 6h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +37%
net ROI/market (all)-16.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 466 -9.0% -17.6% 40% 37% -15.3%
≤30d 498 -8.1% -16.8% 40% 37% -14.6%
≤90d 498 -8.1% -16.8% 40% 37% -14.6%
all 498 -8.1% -16.8% 40% 37% -14.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover46.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -16.8% 37% -14.6%
10% ← realistic here -24.8% 29% -22.8%
15% -32.1% 22% -30.3%
20% -38.7% 19% -37.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 702 history records