Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T20:13:39+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

98
0x98fd…2c69
sports · 8 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$45 -9%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$62 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY sports specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$62
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)62%
Wins / losses5 / 3
Est. fees paid−$6
Open positions0
Markets (closed)8 / 8
History coverage1d
Avg bet$64
Trades / day17.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit88%
Chart Positions 0 History 8 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$62
7 days−$62
14 days−$62
30 days−$62
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 7.5 Under 56¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 7.5 Jun 14 $14 −$14 -99%
Spread: Germany (-4.5) Jun 14 $9 +$5 +53%
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 5.5 Jun 14 $87 −$67 -78%
Spread: Germany (-3.5) Jun 14 $110 −$33 -30%
KBO: Hanwha Eagles vs. Kiwoom Heroes Jun 14 $94 +$16 +17%
Spread: Australia (-1.5) Jun 14 $70 +$24 +34%
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $68 +$2 +3%
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics Jun 14 $62 +$6 +9%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 87% −$64
other 13% +$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 7.5 BUY Under 56¢ $14 1h
Spread: Germany (-4.5) SELL Germany 96¢ $14 1h
Spread: Germany (-4.5) BUY Germany 62¢ $9 1h
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 5.5 SELL Under 22¢ $10 1h
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 5.5 BUY Under 21¢ $10 1h
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 5.5 SELL Under 7¢ $10 2h
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 5.5 BUY Under 54¢ $77 2h
Spread: Germany (-3.5) SELL Germany 44¢ $77 2h
Spread: Germany (-3.5) BUY Germany 61¢ $110 3h
KBO: Hanwha Eagles vs. Kiwoom Heroes SELL Kiwoom Heroes 100¢ $110 11h
KBO: Hanwha Eagles vs. Kiwoom Heroes BUY Kiwoom Heroes 85¢ $94 12h
Spread: Australia (-1.5) SELL Australia 100¢ $94 14h
Spread: Australia (-1.5) BUY Australia 74¢ $70 14h
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? SELL Yes 95¢ $70 14h
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 92¢ $68 14h
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics BUY Athletics 93¢ $26 15h
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics BUY Athletics 90¢ $36 15h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +38%
net ROI/market (all)-19.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 8 -11.5% -19.9% 62% 38% -20.4%
≤30d 8 -11.5% -19.9% 62% 38% -20.4%
≤90d 8 -11.5% -19.9% 62% 38% -20.4%
all 8 -11.5% -19.9% 62% 38% -20.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover17.0 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -19.9% 38% -20.4%
10% -27.6% 25% -28.0%
15% -34.6% 12% -35.0%
20% -41.0% 12% -41.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 18 history records