Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T18:33:17+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

98
0x98fd…1827
crypto · 1771 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$86 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$86 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$86
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)74%
Wins / losses1313 / 465
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1778 / 1771
History coverage24d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day143.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1778 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$21
7 days−$10
14 days−$41
30 days−$86
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 80¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Down 81¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Down 90¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Up 85¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Down 78¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Up 89¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Up 78¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Up 89¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Down 84¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Down 75¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Down 87¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Down 87¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Down 85¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Up 76¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Down 89¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Up 76¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Down 76¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Down 90¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Up 92¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Down 81¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Up 91¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Up 76¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Up 85¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Down 95¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Up 82¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Will the 49ers win Super Bowl 2025? Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Will the Baltimore Ravens win Super Bowl 2026? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +10%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$74
world 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $5 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $4 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET SELL Up 95¢ $3 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $3 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET SELL Up 79¢ $2 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $2 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $2 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $2 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $5 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $5 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET SELL Up 96¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET SELL Down 78¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET SELL Up 75¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET SELL Up 96¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET SELL Up 96¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET SELL Down 96¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 87¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $6 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $6 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET SELL Down 76¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $2 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +47%
net ROI/market (all)-11.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 659 -1.9% -11.2% 78% 39% -9.9%
≤30d 1778 -2.4% -11.7% 74% 47% -11.0%
≤90d 1778 -2.4% -11.7% 74% 47% -11.0%
all 1778 -2.4% -11.7% 74% 47% -11.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover143.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.7% 47% -11.0%
10% ← realistic here -20.2% 7% -19.5%
15% -27.9% 1% -27.3%
20% -35.0% 0% -34.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records