Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T17:07:34+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
98 0x98f5…754f crypto 637 markets active 1h ago coverage 21d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 20d onlyP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ bot/MM pace (147 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)
Total PnL +$44,451 (+138%) realized +$44,451 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +89% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt +46% what you keep after slip
Net edge+46%after slip
Net WR46%break-even
Win rate46%426W / 493L
Whale WR12%big bets
Drawdown91%max
Avg bet$50per market
Trades / day147.0pace
Kalshi-fit73%portable
Net worth$77now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 21d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 88% +$13,057
other 12% +$12,407
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (147 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +46%
net ROI/market (all)+71.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 582 +15.3% +4.3% 33% 33% -46.5%
≤30d 919 +89.1% +71.1% 46% 46% -18.8%
≤90d 919 +89.1% +71.1% 46% 46% -18.8%
all 919 +89.1% +71.1% 46% 46% -18.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover147.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +71.1% 46% -18.8%
10% ← realistic here +54.7% 46% -26.6%
15% +39.8% 42% -33.7%
20% +26.1% 40% -40.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 24% · top 2 31% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +5% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
0% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +89% · $-wt +5% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 12% (≥$500) big bets weaker
Persistence
early +190% → late -12% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
4.8 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$89 vs −$72 · ×1.24 wins ≈ losses
Profit factor
×1.07 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

21d coverage
Net worth$77
Realized+$44,451
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)46%
Wins / losses426 / 493
Whale WR (big bets)12%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)919 / 637
History coverage21d ⚠
Avg bet$50
Trades / day147.0
Drawdown91%
Kalshi-fit73%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 919 Trades
no open positions (498 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 11, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 15 $9 +$6 +71%
XRP Up or Down - May 13, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +54%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 9, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +45%
Solana Up or Down - May 20, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 15 $0 +$1 +1329%
Solana Up or Down - May 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 15 $0 +$1 +400%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 15 $0 $0 +1908%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 15 $0 $0 +245%
BNB Up or Down - May 7, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 15 $0 $0 +54%
XRP Up or Down - May 20, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 15 $0 $0 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 15 $151 −$151 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 15 $79 −$79 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 29, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 15 $11 −$11 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 6, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 15, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 15 $0 $0 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 30, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
BNB Up or Down - May 17, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 26, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 15 $0 $0 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 11, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 15 $111 −$111 -100%
BNB Up or Down - May 18, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 29, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 15 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 15 $7 −$7 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 17, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 15 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 15 $72 −$72 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 15 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 15 $656 −$656 -100%
BNB Up or Down - May 8, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 9, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 15 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 15 $62 −$62 -100%
BNB Up or Down - May 20, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 15 $67 −$67 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 15 $183 −$183 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 18, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 15 $54 −$54 -100%
BNB Up or Down - May 21, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 25, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 15 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 18, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 15 $27 −$27 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 15 $9 −$9 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 8, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 15 $12 −$12 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 17, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 15 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 15 $7 −$7 -100%
BNB Up or Down - April 30, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 15 $401 −$401 -100%
BNB Up or Down - April 27, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 15 $20 −$40 -207%
BNB Up or Down - May 16, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 15 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 15 $98 −$98 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 15 $7 −$7 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $58 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $3 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $1 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $1 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $18 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $9 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $4 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $26 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $5 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $9 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $11 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $6 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $11 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $6 3h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $11 3h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $11 3h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $6 3h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $6 3h
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Down 19¢ $6 4h
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Down 5¢ $1 4h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $2 4h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $13 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Up 4¢ $0 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Up 20¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Up 20¢ $0 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Up 20¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Up 20¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Up 20¢ $0 6h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $76.75 · official $68.74 · 3500 history records