Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T15:57:36+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

98
0x98e8…d17b
crypto · 655 markets active 2h ago
3.0score
+$791 +4%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$791 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$791
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)55%
Wins / losses359 / 296
Open positions0
Markets (closed)655 / 655
History coverage26d
Avg bet$27
Trades / day49.8
Drawdown41%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 655 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$452
7 days+$493
14 days+$441
30 days+$791
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $17 +$20 +114%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $17 −$17 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $89 −$23 -25%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 13 $37 −$37 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 13 $19 +$9 +49%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 13 $17 −$17 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 13 $169 −$60 -36%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 13 $54 +$30 +55%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 13 $17 +$6 +35%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 13 $39 −$39 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 13 $99 −$32 -33%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 13 $127 −$127 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $17 +$11 +62%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 13 $135 −$10 -8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 13 $87 −$87 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 13 $17 −$17 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 13 $53 +$21 +38%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $110 +$10 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $19 −$19 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 13 $39 +$20 +52%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 13 $37 +$37 +100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 13 $17 +$11 +62%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $138 +$166 +121%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 13 $34 +$15 +44%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $17 −$17 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $35 −$35 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 13 $18 +$1 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $17 −$17 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $54 −$29 -54%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $17 −$17 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $120 −$9 -8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $18 −$18 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $17 +$12 +69%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $53 −$5 -10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $18 +$10 +55%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $52 +$5 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $17 −$17 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $117 −$58 -49%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $17 −$17 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $19 +$12 +63%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $90 +$14 +16%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $16 +$4 +23%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $39 +$20 +52%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $40 −$18 -45%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $18 +$19 +105%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $36 −$7 -20%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $34 −$34 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $33 −$16 -48%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $38 +$8 +22%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $94 −$41 -43%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$791
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $17 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $17 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $20 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $37 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $32 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $19 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $19 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $19 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $17 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 27¢ $19 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $17 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $17 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $29 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $29 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $18 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $24 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $17 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $19 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $17 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $18 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $17 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $17 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $21 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $20 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $19 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $19 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $20 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $20 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $56 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $71 7h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)-7.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 182 +2.8% -7.0% 53% 50% -3.6%
≤30d 655 +2.4% -7.4% 55% 50% -5.5%
≤90d 655 +2.4% -7.4% 55% 50% -5.5%
all 655 +2.4% -7.4% 55% 50% -5.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover49.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -7.4% 50% -5.5%
10% ← realistic here -16.2% 45% -14.6%
15% -24.3% 37% -22.8%
20% -31.8% 28% -30.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records