trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 12 | $3 | +$1 | +24% |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | Jun 11 | $1 | +$1 | +83% |
| Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix? | Jun 05 | $1 | −$1 | -98% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 05 | $2 | −$2 | -99% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 04 | $1 | +$2 | +165% |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | May 31 | $1 | +$1 | +129% |
| Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix? | May 30 | $1 | −$1 | -98% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | +53.5% | +38.9% | 100% | 100% | +26.6% |
| ≤30d | 7 | +14.4% | +3.5% | 57% | 57% | -4.9% |
| ≤90d | 7 | +14.4% | +3.5% | 57% | 57% | -4.9% |
| all | 7 | +14.4% | +3.5% | 57% | 57% | -4.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +3.5% | 57% | -4.9% |
| 10% | -6.4% | 57% | -14.0% |
| 15% | -15.4% | 43% | -22.3% |
| 20% | -23.7% | 43% | -29.9% |