trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 3 | -14.2% | -22.4% | 67% | 67% | -4.5% |
| ≤30d | 3 | -14.2% | -22.4% | 67% | 67% | -4.5% |
| ≤90d | 8 | -52.2% | -56.8% | 38% | 38% | -34.6% |
| all | 19 | -16.1% | -24.1% | 47% | 47% | -20.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -24.1% | 47% | -20.0% |
| 10% | -31.3% | 37% | -27.7% |
| 15% | -38.0% | 26% | -34.7% |
| 20% | -44.0% | 11% | -41.1% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18? | Yes | 49¢ | 48¢ | $12 | $12 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw? | Yes | 28¢ | 38¢ | $2 | $3 | +$1 (+37%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $3 | −$3 | -98% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $5 | +$2 | +42% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $11 | +$2 | +16% |
| Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix? | May 03 | $2 | −$2 | -97% |
| Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix? | Mar 30 | $3 | +$1 | +25% |
| Will George Russell get pole position at the 2025 F1 Abu Dhabi Grand P | Mar 29 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Will George Russell win the 2025 F1 Las Vegas Grand Prix? | Mar 29 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Will Max Verstappen win the Sprint at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix? | Mar 29 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |
| Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix? | Mar 15 | $1 | $0 | +20% |
| Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix? | Mar 15 | $3 | +$2 | +85% |
| Will Charles Leclerc get pole position at the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Pr | Mar 14 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Abu Dhabi Grand Prix? | Dec 08 | $3 | +$1 | +49% |
| Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion? | Dec 07 | $6 | −$5 | -76% |
| Will Max Verstappen finish second in the 2025 Drivers Championship? | Dec 06 | $3 | +$1 | +33% |
| Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix? | Nov 30 | $4 | −$1 | -29% |
| Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix? | Nov 30 | $3 | +$1 | +50% |
| Will Oscar Piastri get pole position at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix? | Nov 30 | $3 | +$5 | +178% |
| Will Oscar Piastri win the Sprint at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix? | Nov 29 | $5 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Las Vegas Grand Prix? | Nov 23 | $3 | −$3 | -98% |