Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T10:25:05+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

98
0x9895…3870
other · 2375 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$380 +2%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$21 · open +$358
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$389
Realized+$21
Unrealized+$358
Win rate (resolved)1%
Wins / losses2 / 132
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions370
Markets (closed)134 / 2375
Avg bet$11
Trades / day412.5
Drawdown5%
Kalshi-fit76%
Chart Positions 370 History 134 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1
7 days+$22
14 days+$21
30 days+$21
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Total Kills Over/Under 51.5 in Game 2? Over 0¢ 50¢ $0 $14 +$14 (+49850%)
Game 2: Any Player Quadra Kill? Yes 0¢ 50¢ $0 $14 +$14 (+49850%)
Total Kills Over/Under 42.5 in Game 2? Over 0¢ 50¢ $0 $14 +$14 (+49850%)
Total Kills Over/Under 32.5 in Game 2? Under 0¢ 50¢ $0 $13 +$13 (+49850%)
Valorant: TEC Esports vs All Gamers - Map 1 Winner TEC Esports 0¢ 50¢ $0 $13 +$13 (+49850%)
Map 1: Odd/Even Total Kills? Odd 0¢ 50¢ $0 $13 +$13 (+49850%)
Game 2: Any Player Penta Kill? Yes 0¢ 50¢ $0 $13 +$13 (+49850%)
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2? Over 0¢ 50¢ $0 $12 +$12 (+49850%)
Map 1: Odd/Even Total Kills? Even 0¢ 50¢ $0 $12 +$12 (+49850%)
Series: Anyone's Legend Kill Handicap (-10.5) vs Weibo Gaming (+10.5) Weibo Gaming 0¢ 47¢ $0 $12 +$12 (+47250%)
StarCraft II: Cure vs sOs - Map 1 Winner sOs 0¢ 48¢ $0 $12 +$12 (+48400%)
Counter-Strike: Nerve of Cow vs BRAWLSTARS (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season Nerve of Cow 0¢ 50¢ $0 $12 +$12 (+49900%)
Counter-Strike: BRAWLSTARS vs Clutchain Female (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season Clutchain Female 0¢ 50¢ $0 $12 +$11 (+49900%)
Game 3: Both Teams Beat Roshan? Yes 0¢ 50¢ $0 $11 +$11 (+49850%)
Set Handicap: Samsonova (-1.5) vs Siegemund (+1.5) Samsonova 0¢ 44¢ $0 $11 +$11 (+43850%)
Map 1: Odd/Even Total Kills? Even 0¢ 50¢ $0 $11 +$11 (+49850%)
Will Tom Steyer finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election in San Francisco City and County? Yes 0¢ 97¢ $0 $11 +$11 (+96850%)
Will Eric Jones advance from the CA-04 primary election? Yes 0¢ 82¢ $0 $9 +$9 (+81450%)
Blinkova vs. Jovic: Total Sets O/U 2.5 Over 2.5 0¢ 29¢ $0 $8 +$8 (+29150%)
Duncan/Ribero vs. Bianchi/Sheehy: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5 Under 0¢ 49¢ $0 $7 +$7 (+49350%)
Friedsam vs. Zidansek: Match O/U 21.5 Over 0¢ 47¢ $0 $7 +$7 (+46649%)
Will CD Real Tomayapo win on 2026-05-12? Yes 0¢ 49¢ $0 $7 +$7 (+49300%)
Set Handicap: Cecchinato (-1.5) vs Sakellaridis (+1.5) Sakellaridis 0¢ 46¢ $0 $6 +$6 (+46300%)
ITF Gaborone: Tanisha Kashyap vs D'Estree Colalancia DEstree Colalancia 0¢ 49¢ $0 $6 +$6 (+49350%)
Map 1: Odd/Even Total Rounds? Even 0¢ 50¢ $0 $5 +$5 (+49399%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $116 in May? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 54-55°F on May 25? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on May 23? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will Will Power win the 2026 Indianapolis 500? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will Nikki Gronli be the Democratic Nominee for SD-AL? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will "Drop Dead - Olivia Rodrigo" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 15°C or below on May 24? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on May 25? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will "DAS GETRÄUMTE ABENTEUER by Valeska GRISEBACH" win Palme d'Or at Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will Oman send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on May 26? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will the price of Solana be between $50 and $60 on May 24? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will "Nope" be the top US Netflix movie this week? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 16°C or below on May 25? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by May 31, 2 Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on May 24? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on May 24? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Exact Score: Fenerbahçe SK 1 - 3 Samsunspor? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will XRP reach $1.55 on May 23? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will Bitcoin dip to $73,000 on May 23? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on May Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will MIBR win CS Asia Championships 2026? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will the price of XRP be between $1.00 and $1.10 on May 26? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will Tennille R. McCoy be the Democratic Nominee for NJ-12? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on May 24? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 30°C on May 24? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Exact Score: Vegalta Sendai 1 - 3 Yokohama FC? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 64-65°F on May 24? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will the Ornn H200 Index hit $3.00 (LOW) by May 31, 2026? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on May 26? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will the median home value in Chicago be between $347,000 and $348,000 Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 27? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Game 2: Any Player Ultra Kill? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will "NAGI NOTES by FUKADA Koji" win Palme d'Or at the 2026 Cannes Fil Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will another margin of victory outcome occur in the next Maltese gener Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on May 23? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will paiN Gaming Academy win CD 2026 Split 1? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in May? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $70 in May? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 26°C or below on May 2 Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $86,000 on May 25? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will the price of Solana be between $120 and $130 on May 27? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will Steven Fisk finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 THE CJ CUP Byron Nel Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will Drake have exactly 1 song in the Billboard top 10? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C or higher on May 23? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 26°C or higher on May 23? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $176 in May? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will the price of Solana be above $100 on May 24? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will there be 6 or more major space weather events this week? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
economics 100% $0
other 0% +$184
crypto 0% +$1
weather 0% $0
politics 0% +$12
tech 0% +$3
sports 0% +$169
world 0% $0
finance 0% +$10
culture 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Game 2: Any Player Penta Kill? BUY No 0¢ $0 1h
Game 2: Any Player Penta Kill? BUY No 0¢ $0 1h
Will Claude go down 0-2 times in June? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 3h
Will Argentina's monthly inflation in May 2026 be between 3.1% and 3.3 BUY Yes 0¢ $0 5h
Will Argentina's monthly inflation in May 2026 be between 3.4% and 3.6 BUY Yes 0¢ $0 5h
Will Argentina's monthly inflation in May 2026 be between 3.4% and 3.6 BUY Yes 0¢ $0 5h
Will Argentina's monthly inflation in May 2026 be between 3.7% and 3.9 BUY Yes 0¢ $0 5h
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 3 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 6h
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 3 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 6h
Will Altimont Wilks be the Democratic nominee for MD-06? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 6h
Will Altimont Wilks be the Democratic nominee for MD-06? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 6h
Will the Reserve Bank of Australia decrease the target for the cash ra BUY Yes 0¢ $0 7h
Will Iván Cepeda win between 35% and 40% of votes in the first round o BUY Yes 0¢ $0 7h
Will Argentina's monthly inflation in May 2026 be between 3.4% and 3.6 BUY Yes 0¢ $0 8h
Will Argentina's monthly inflation in May 2026 be between 3.7% and 3.9 BUY Yes 0¢ $0 8h
Will Argentina's monthly inflation in May 2026 be between 3.1% and 3.3 BUY Yes 0¢ $0 8h
Will SpaceX IPO on June 15, 2026? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 9h
Will Bay Area Breakers finish in 1st place at the Major League Pickleb BUY Yes 0¢ $0 10h
Will Bay Area Breakers finish in 1st place at the Major League Pickleb BUY Yes 0¢ $0 10h
Will Bay Area Breakers finish in 1st place at the Major League Pickleb BUY Yes 0¢ $0 10h
Will SpaceX IPO on June 30, 2026 or later? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 10h
Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026? BUY No 0¢ $0 11h
Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026? BUY No 0¢ $0 11h
World Cup game relocated away from Mexico? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 12h
World Cup game relocated away from Mexico? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 12h
Game 2: Any Player Penta Kill? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 12h
Game 2: Any Player Penta Kill? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 12h
Will Rakhi Israni Singh advance from the CA-14 primary election? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 12h
Will Argentina's monthly inflation in May 2026 be 4.0% or higher? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 14h
Will Argentina's monthly inflation in May 2026 be 4.0% or higher? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 14h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +1%
net ROI/market (all)-71.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 110 -60.9% -64.6% 2% 2% -9.5%
≤30d 134 -67.9% -71.0% 1% 1% -9.5%
≤90d 134 -67.9% -71.0% 1% 1% -9.5%
all 134 -67.9% -71.0% 1% 1% -9.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover412.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -71.0% 1% -9.5%
10% ← realistic here -73.7% 1% -18.2%
15% -76.3% 1% -26.1%
20% -78.6% 1% -33.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $388.88 · official $388.88 (match) · 3500 history records