Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T05:02:30+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

98
0x9892…fd59
sports · 1362 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$2,604 -11%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$2,477 · open −$127
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$235
Realized−$2,477
Unrealized−$127
Win rate (resolved)31%
Wins / losses394 / 895
Est. fees paid−$260
Open positions38
Markets (closed)1289 / 1362
History coverage15d
Avg bet$18
Trades / day213.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit81%
Chart Positions 38 History 1289 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1,824
7 days−$1,929
14 days−$1,983
30 days−$2,477
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-20? Yes 6¢ 7¢ $24 $28 +$3 (+14%)
Will Vicky Dávila win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $50 $14 −$36 (-73%)
T20 Series Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka: Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka - Completed match? Yes 60¢ 48¢ $15 $12 −$3 (-19%)
Will Türkiye win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 64¢ 68¢ $10 $11 +$1 (+7%)
Will England win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 69¢ 70¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+1%)
Will Argentina reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 48¢ 48¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
Knicks vs. Spurs Knicks 36¢ 36¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
Will Brazil win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 73¢ 72¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-2%)
Will Morocco reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 60¢ 57¢ $10 $9 −$1 (-5%)
Will Brazil reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 51¢ 48¢ $10 $9 −$1 (-7%)
Will Netherlands reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 46¢ 42¢ $10 $9 −$1 (-10%)
Will Lindsey Horvath win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $15 $7 −$8 (-55%)
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics Colorado Rockies 34¢ 8¢ $25 $6 −$19 (-78%)
Will George Russell get pole position at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? Yes 33¢ 35¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+6%)
Will Panama win on 2026-06-27? Yes 10¢ 10¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+5%)
Will Brooks Koepka win the 2026 RBC Canadian Open? Yes 6¢ 6¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+0%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Team Falcons 79¢ 78¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Natus Vincere 71¢ 70¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Legacy 61¢ 60¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-24? Yes 15¢ 14¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 FURIA 63¢ 62¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-2%)
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs FUT Esports 56¢ 55¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-3%)
Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs XLG Gaming (+1.5) G2 Esports 59¢ 57¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-3%)
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 9z 13¢ 12¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-4%)
Will France vs. Iraq end in a draw? Yes 10¢ 10¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-5%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Toronto Tempo vs. Chicago Sky Jun 13 $50 −$50 -100%
Roland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Elise Mertens Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Spread: Spurs (-8.5) Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Roland Garros ATP: Francisco Cerundolo vs Hugo Gaston Jun 13 $45 −$45 -100%
Chisinau: Genaro Alberto Olivieri vs Luca Nardi Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Dino Prizmic Jun 13 $100 −$100 -100%
Houston Astros vs. Texas Rangers Jun 13 $150 −$150 -100%
Spread: Spurs (-11.5) Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Roland Garros WTA: Diana Shnaider vs McCartney Kessler Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Kosice: Hynek Barton vs Norbert Gombos Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Chisinau: Cezar Cretu vs Pavel Kotov Jun 13 $50 −$50 -100%
Hurricanes vs. Canadiens Jun 13 $50 −$51 -102%
Los Angeles Angels vs. Detroit Tigers Jun 13 $45 −$45 -100%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego Padres Jun 13 $200 −$202 -101%
Vicenza: Lukas Neumayer vs Remy Bertola Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Roland Garros ATP: Francisco Comesana vs Luciano Darderi Jun 13 $37 −$37 -100%
Spread: PortlandFire (-6.5) Jun 13 $50 −$50 -100%
Roland Garros ATP: Martin Landaluce vs Vit Kopriva Jun 13 $80 −$80 -100%
Kosice: Dali Blanch vs Peter Fajta Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Little Rock: Colton Smith vs Daniel Milavsky Jun 13 $50 −$50 -100%
Game Handicap: TES (-2.5) vs LGD Gaming (+2.5) Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Houston Astros vs. Texas Rangers Jun 13 $15 −$48 -323%
Seattle Mariners vs. Athletics Jun 13 $50 −$50 -100%
Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs HANJIN BRION (+1.5) Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Roland Garros WTA: Mirra Andreeva vs Marina Bassols Ribera Jun 13 $100 −$100 -100%
New York Yankees vs. Kansas City Royals Jun 13 $50 −$161 -323%
Roland Garros WTA: Iva Jovic vs Emma Navarro Jun 13 $50 −$50 -100%
Little Rock: Michael Mmoh vs Timo Legout Jun 13 $50 −$50 -100%
Will Kahrabaa Ismailia FC win on 2026-05-29? Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
LoL: Top Esports vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 13 $30 −$30 -100%
LoL: Top Esports vs LGD Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Yibing Wu Jun 13 $15 −$68 -456%
Vicenza: Pol Martin Tiffon vs Joel Schwaerzler Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Sox Jun 13 $30 −$31 -103%
Roland Garros WTA: Victoria Mboko vs Katerina Siniakova Jun 13 $15 −$17 -112%
Shanghai Sharks vs. Zhejiang Lions Jun 13 $45 −$45 -100%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants Jun 13 $50 −$52 -104%
Vicenza: Chun-Hsin Tseng vs Lautaro Midon Jun 13 $50 −$50 -100%
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Roman Andres Burruchaga Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels Jun 13 $25 −$25 -100%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $5 $0 -9%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $5 $0 -8%
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals Jun 13 $5 +$4 +70%
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox Jun 13 $15 −$2 -12%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $25 +$4 +17%
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5) Jun 13 $10 +$4 +40%
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 13 $5 +$5 +105%
United States leading at halftime? Jun 13 $5 +$7 +147%
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $5 +$15 +288%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 54% −$359
other 19% +$394
weather 9% −$560
crypto 8% −$349
politics 4% −$26
world 4% +$305
tech 1% −$74
finance 0% −$29
culture 0% −$17
economics 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 36¢ $10 20m
Will George Russell get pole position at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand P BUY Yes 33¢ $5 21m
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Play BUY FUT Esports 56¢ $5 40m
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels BUY Tampa Bay Rays 10¢ $15 41m
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels BUY Tampa Bay Rays 10¢ $8 41m
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels BUY Tampa Bay Rays 10¢ $2 41m
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics BUY Colorado Rockies 34¢ $25 43m
Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs XLG Gaming (+1.5) BUY G2 Esports 59¢ $5 50m
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Legacy 61¢ $5 1h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL MOUZ 21¢ $5 1h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Aurora Gaming 42¢ $5 1h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Natus Vincere 71¢ $5 1h
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY B8 28¢ $5 1h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 13¢ $5 1h
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY FURIA 63¢ $5 1h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY MOUZ 22¢ $5 1h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Aurora Gaming 44¢ $5 1h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY Team Falcons 79¢ $5 1h
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals SELL Seattle Mariners 100¢ $9 1h
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox SELL Atlanta Braves 43¢ $8 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 99¢ $11 2h
Christian Pulisic: 1+ goals + assists BUY Yes 99¢ $5 3h
Folarin Balogun: 1+ shots on target BUY Yes 99¢ $5 3h
United States leading at halftime? SELL Yes 81¢ $13 3h
United States leading at halftime? BUY Yes 32¢ $5 3h
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 24¢ $5 3h
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 23¢ $5 4h
Will Wyndham Clark win the 2026 RBC Canadian Open? BUY Yes 1¢ $5 4h
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals BUY Seattle Mariners 58¢ $5 4h
Will Jackson Suber finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 RBC Canadian Open? BUY Yes 49¢ $5 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +24%
net ROI/market (all)-18.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 306 -21.4% -28.9% 38% 34% -53.6%
≤30d 1289 -10.1% -18.7% 31% 24% -18.0%
≤90d 1289 -10.1% -18.7% 31% 24% -18.0%
all 1289 -10.1% -18.7% 31% 24% -18.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover213.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -18.7% 24% -18.0%
10% ← realistic here -26.4% 21% -25.9%
15% -33.5% 17% -33.0%
20% -40.1% 14% -39.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $234.95 · official $234.95 (match) · 3500 history records