Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T20:41:22+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

98
0x9887…49fe
crypto · 2079 markets active 0h ago
2.0score
+$2,277 +11%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$2,277 · open +$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$41
Realized+$2,277
Unrealized+$1
Win rate (resolved)71%
Wins / losses1232 / 513
Est. fees paid−$7
Open positions4
Markets (closed)1745 / 2079
History coverage8d
Avg bet$10
Trades / day283.7
Drawdown29%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 4 History 1745 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$536
7 days+$1,416
14 days+$2,277
30 days+$2,277
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ilkley: Katie Swan vs Ashlyn Krueger Ashlyn Krueger 68¢ 100¢ $10 $15 +$5 (+47%)
Libema Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Alex de Minaur Alex de Minaur 78¢ 78¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
Cattolica: Jesper de Jong vs Enrico Dalla Valle Jesper de Jong 74¢ 74¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukuro Ben Shelton 76¢ 46¢ $10 $6 −$4 (-39%)
XRP Up or Down - June 8, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Down 70¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Down 66¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 5, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 8, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 3, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 8, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Down 69¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 6, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 5, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Roland Garros WTA: Diane Parry vs Amanda Anisimova Amanda Anisimova 82¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Leyre Romero Gormaz Leyre Romero Gormaz 66¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 3, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Roland Garros WTA: Diane Parry vs Amanda Anisimova Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 2, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 2, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 4, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 1, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Roland Garros ATP: Adolfo Vallejo vs Moise Kouame Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 3, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 2, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 4, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 4, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Chisinau: Genaro Alberto Olivieri vs Luca Nardi Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 31, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Roland Garros ATP: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Damir Dzumhur Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Prostejov: Taro Daniel vs Damir Dzumhur Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 3, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 4, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Chisinau: Cezar Cretu vs Pavel Kotov Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 31, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 4, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Chisinau: Kimmer Coppejans vs Franco Agamenone Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $19 −$19 -100%
Roland Garros ATP: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Pablo Carreno Busta Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Centurion 2: Tuncay Duran vs Stefano Napolitano Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Roland Garros ATP: Francisco Comesana vs Luciano Darderi Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 96% +$3,122
sports 4% +$91
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $12 11m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $12 50m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $12 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $12 1h
Cattolica: Jesper de Jong vs Enrico Dalla Valle BUY Jesper de Jong 75¢ $5 1h
Cattolica: Jesper de Jong vs Enrico Dalla Valle BUY Jesper de Jong 74¢ $5 1h
Libema Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Alex de Minaur BUY Alex de Minaur 79¢ $5 1h
Libema Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Alex de Minaur BUY Alex de Minaur 77¢ $5 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $7 2h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $13 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $4 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $11 2h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $16 3h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $3 3h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $3 3h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $12 3h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $3 3h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $17 3h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $3 4h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $11 4h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $12 4h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $11 4h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $17 4h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $3 4h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $11 4h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $16 4h
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukuro BUY Ben Shelton 75¢ $5 4h
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukuro BUY Ben Shelton 78¢ $5 4h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $12 4h
Ilkley: Katie Swan vs Ashlyn Krueger BUY Ashlyn Krueger 68¢ $5 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +70%
net ROI/market (all)+2.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1274 +11.9% +1.2% 70% 70% +0.8%
≤30d 1745 +13.7% +2.9% 71% 70% +2.4%
≤90d 1745 +13.7% +2.9% 71% 70% +2.4%
all 1745 +13.7% +2.9% 71% 70% +2.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover283.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +2.9% 70% +2.4%
10% ← realistic here -6.9% 70% -7.4%
15% -15.9% 68% -16.3%
20% -24.2% 57% -24.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $40.58 · official $40.58 (match) · 3500 history records