Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T13:58:43+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
98 0x9886…57e5 crypto 1917 markets active 0h ago coverage 76d ⚠
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 75d only
✗ negative after realistic slippage! high turnover
Total PnL −$246 (-3%) realized −$246 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -4% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -26% what you keep after slip
Net edge-26%after slip
Net WR35%break-even
Win rate73%1408W / 509L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$4per market
Trades / day25.7pace
Kalshi-fit97%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$17
7 days−$54
14 days−$32
30 days−$14
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 97% −$30
other 3% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +35%
net ROI/market (all)-13.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 637 -4.0% -13.2% 76% 23% -11.2%
≤30d 1397 -4.9% -14.0% 68% 32% -9.8%
≤90d 1917 -3.8% -13.0% 73% 35% -9.9%
all 1917 -3.8% -13.0% 73% 35% -9.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover25.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.0% 35% -9.9%
10% ← realistic here -21.3% 15% -18.5%
15% -28.9% 11% -26.4%
20% -35.9% 8% -33.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 1% · top 2 1% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
45% wins margin < slip thin win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -4% · $-wt -0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -6% → late -2% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$2 · ×0.35 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.97 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

76d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$246
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)73%
Wins / losses1408 / 509
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1917 / 1917
History coverage76d ⚠
Avg bet$4
Trades / day25.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit97%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1917 Trades
no open positions (433 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +0%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +0%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 17, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +0%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +0%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 17, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 17 $10 +$1 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +0%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +0%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 17, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +0%
BNB Up or Down - June 17, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +0%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +0%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 17 $6 −$5 -97%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +0%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +0%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +0%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 17, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 17, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +0%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 17, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +0%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +0%
BNB Up or Down - June 17, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 17 $9 +$1 +14%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 17, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +0%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +0%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +0%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 17 $7 −$7 -97%
BNB Up or Down - June 17, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +0%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 17 $11 +$1 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +0%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 17, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +0%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 17, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 17 $11 +$1 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $5 18m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 17, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $5 18m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $2 18m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $5 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $5 23m
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Down 100¢ $5 34m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $5 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $5 1h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 17, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $5 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $10 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Down 100¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Down 100¢ $5 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Down 100¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Down 100¢ $5 1h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 17, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 100¢ $5 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $5 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 17, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $5 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $5 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $5 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $6 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $5 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 2h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 17, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Down 100¢ $5 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Down 100¢ $5 2h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Down 100¢ $5 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Down 100¢ $5 2h
BNB Up or Down - June 17, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $5 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records