Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T04:05:53+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

98
0x987d…c90b
crypto · 97 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$77 +21%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$50 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$50
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)80%
Wins / losses78 / 19
Open positions0
Markets (closed)97 / 97
History coverage1d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day121.1
Drawdown26%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 97 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$50
7 days+$50
14 days+$50
30 days+$50
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Down 19¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Up 77¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Down 21¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$3 +99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 14 $6 +$1 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 14 $6 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 14 $13 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$1 +44%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$1 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 14 $6 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 14 $6 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 14 $6 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$1 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +20%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$50
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $3 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $6 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET SELL Up 54¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET SELL Down 54¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET SELL Up 49¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET SELL Down 57¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET SELL Up 46¢ $13 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $13 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET SELL Down 54¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET SELL Up 56¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET SELL Up 55¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET SELL Down 73¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $3 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET SELL Down 70¢ $4 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET SELL Down 55¢ $7 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $6 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $3 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +48%
net ROI/market (all)-8.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 97 +1.6% -8.0% 80% 48% +3.2%
≤30d 97 +1.6% -8.0% 80% 48% +3.2%
≤90d 97 +1.6% -8.0% 80% 48% +3.2%
all 97 +1.6% -8.0% 80% 48% +3.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover121.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.0% 48% +3.2%
10% ← realistic here -16.8% 21% -6.7%
15% -24.9% 16% -15.7%
20% -32.2% 11% -24.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 177 history records