Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T04:59:43+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

98
0x987c…0a5a
sports · 1316 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$2 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$2 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$18
Realized−$2
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)98%
Wins / losses1294 / 20
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions2
Markets (closed)1314 / 1316
History coverage82d
Avg bet$10
Trades / day16.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit84%
Chart Positions 2 History 1314 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$0
7 days+$0
14 days+$1
30 days+$2
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? No 100¢ 100¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+0%)
Will Jose Alvarado lead the 2026 NBA Finals in total rebounds? No 100¢ 100¢ $8 $8 +$0 (+0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Spread: Knicks (-11.5) Jun 14 $10 $0 +0%
Spread: Knicks (-10.5) Jun 14 $10 $0 +0%
Spread: Knicks (-6.5) Jun 14 $10 $0 +0%
Exact Score: Haiti 1 - 3 Scotland? Jun 14 $10 $0 +0%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 Jun 14 $10 $0 +0%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 Jun 14 $10 $0 +0%
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June? Jun 13 $10 $0 +0%
Counter-Strike: Metizport vs Atputies (BO3) - ROG Journey Playoffs Jun 13 $10 $0 +0%
Counter-Strike: BASEMENT BOYS vs Gaming By Legends - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $10 $0 +0%
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5) Jun 13 $10 $0 +0%
SpaceX IPO: Will Elon Musk Ring the Bell? Jun 12 $10 $0 +0%
Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be betwe Jun 12 $10 $0 +0%
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on Jun 12 $10 $0 +0%
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by June 30? Jun 12 $10 $0 +0%
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on Jun 12 $10 $0 +0%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? Jun 12 $10 $0 +0%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.8T? Jun 12 $10 $0 +0%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? Jun 12 $10 $0 +0%
Will SpaceX raise between $60B and $70B in its IPO? Jun 12 $10 $0 +0%
BC Zenit vs. Lokomotiv Kuban Jun 12 $10 $0 +0%
Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 2? Jun 12 $10 $0 +0%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 8.5 Total Corners Jun 12 $10 $0 +0%
Will Nikita Kucherov win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy? Jun 12 $10 $0 +0%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $86 on June 11? Jun 11 $10 $0 +0%
Spread: Mexico (-1.5) Jun 11 $10 $0 +0%
LoL: G2 NORD vs Galions - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $10 $0 +0%
Will Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals 4-2 be the exact series outcome? Jun 11 $10 $0 +0%
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians Jun 10 $10 $0 +0%
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays Jun 10 $10 $0 +0%
Set Handicap: Wu (-1.5) vs Boogaard (+1.5) Jun 10 $10 $0 +0%
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Dewa United Esports vs Geek Fam ID - Game 3 Jun 10 $10 $0 +0%
Will Claude 5 be released by September 30, 2026? Jun 09 $10 $0 +0%
ITF Kayseri: Irina Khayndrava vs Defne Aydemir Jun 09 $10 $0 +0%
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 219.5 Jun 09 $10 $0 +0%
Spread: Atlético Nacional (-2.5) Jun 09 $10 $0 +0%
France vs. Northern Ireland: O/U 2.5 Jun 08 $10 $0 +0%
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 2-8? Jun 08 $10 $0 +0%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 08 $10 $0 +0%
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5) Jun 07 $10 $0 +0%
Set Handicap: Zverev (-1.5) vs Cobolli (+1.5) Jun 07 $10 $0 +0%
ITF Brasilia: Marjorie Souza vs Luiza Fullana Jun 07 $10 $0 +0%
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Team Spirit vs Verso Time - Game 1 Winner Jun 07 $10 $0 +0%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs M80 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $10 $0 +0%
StarCraft II: herO vs Cure (BO7) - Global StarCraft II League Playoffs Jun 07 $10 $0 +0%
ICC Cricket World Cup League Two: Canada vs USA Jun 07 $10 $0 +0%
Call of Duty: OpTic Texas vs Riyadh Falcons (BO5) - Call of Duty Leagu Jun 07 $10 $0 +0%
Counter-Strike: TDK vs Walczaki - Map 1 Winner Jun 06 $10 $0 +0%
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs JD Gaming (+1.5) Jun 06 $10 $0 +0%
ITF Banja Luka: Ella Haavisto vs Lucie Petruzelova Jun 06 $10 $0 +0%
ITF Banja Luka: Mirjana Jovanovic vs Allegra Korpanec Davies Jun 06 $10 $0 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 60% −$7
weather 19% +$2
other 16% +$2
finance 2% $0
crypto 2% $0
tech 1% $0
world 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Jose Alvarado lead the 2026 NBA Finals in total rebounds? BUY No 100¢ $8 1h
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? BUY No 100¢ $10 1h
Spread: Knicks (-6.5) BUY Spurs 100¢ $10 1h
Spread: Knicks (-11.5) BUY Spurs 100¢ $10 1h
Spread: Knicks (-10.5) BUY Spurs 100¢ $10 1h
Exact Score: Haiti 1 - 3 Scotland? BUY No 100¢ $10 1h
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 BUY Over 100¢ $10 6h
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 BUY Under 100¢ $10 8h
Counter-Strike: Metizport vs Atputies (BO3) - ROG Journey Playoffs BUY Metizport 100¢ $10 17h
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June? BUY Yes 100¢ $10 17h
Counter-Strike: BASEMENT BOYS vs Gaming By Legends - Map 2 Winner BUY BASEMENT BOYS 100¢ $10 19h
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5) BUY Milwaukee Brewers 100¢ $10 27h
SpaceX IPO: Will Elon Musk Ring the Bell? BUY No 100¢ $10 29h
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.8T? BUY No 100¢ $10 30h
Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be betwe BUY Yes 100¢ $10 31h
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by June 30? BUY Yes 100¢ $10 32h
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on BUY Yes 100¢ $10 32h
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on BUY No 100¢ $10 32h
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? BUY Yes 100¢ $10 32h
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? BUY No 100¢ $10 32h
Will SpaceX raise between $60B and $70B in its IPO? BUY No 100¢ $10 33h
BC Zenit vs. Lokomotiv Kuban BUY Lokomotiv Kuban 100¢ $10 39h
Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 2? BUY Under 100¢ $10 42h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 8.5 Total Corners BUY Over 100¢ $10 2d
Will Nikita Kucherov win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy? BUY Yes 100¢ $10 2d
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $86 on June 11? BUY Yes 100¢ $10 2d
Spread: Mexico (-1.5) BUY Mexico 100¢ $10 2d
LoL: G2 NORD vs Galions - Game 1 Winner BUY G2 NORD 100¢ $10 2d
Will Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals 4-2 be the exact series outcome? BUY No 100¢ $10 3d
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians BUY New York Yankees 100¢ $10 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 44 +0.1% -9.4% 100% 0% -9.4%
≤30d 250 +0.1% -9.4% 97% 0% -9.4%
≤90d 1314 -0.0% -9.5% 98% 0% -9.5%
all 1314 -0.0% -9.5% 98% 0% -9.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover16.6 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.5% 0% -9.5%
10% -18.2% 0% -18.2%
15% -26.1% 0% -26.1%
20% -33.3% 0% -33.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $18.02 · official $18.02 (match) · 2657 history records