Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T23:15:21+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

98
0x986b…bdc6
weather · 204 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$9,973 +3%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$9,937 · open +$24
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY weather specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$9,549
Realized+$9,937
Unrealized+$24
Win rate (resolved)98%
Wins / losses187 / 3
Whale WR (big bets)98%
Est. fees paid−$112
Open positions14
Markets (closed)190 / 204
History coverage3d
Avg bet$1,684
Trades / day1319.1
Drawdown1%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 14 History 190 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$3,458
7 days+$9,937
14 days+$9,937
30 days+$9,937
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 78-79°F on June 12? No 100¢ 100¢ $3,138 $3,132 −$6 (-0%)
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on June 12? No 99¢ 100¢ $1,632 $1,646 +$13 (+1%)
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on June 12? No 99¢ 100¢ $1,122 $1,129 +$7 (+1%)
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 84-85°F on June 12? No 100¢ 100¢ $1,096 $1,097 +$1 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 76-77°F on June 12? No 99¢ 100¢ $1,090 $1,095 +$6 (+1%)
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on June 12? No 100¢ 100¢ $654 $655 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on June 12? No 99¢ 100¢ $173 $175 +$2 (+1%)
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on June 12? No 100¢ 99¢ $165 $164 −$0 (-0%)
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on June 12? No 99¢ 99¢ $135 $137 +$1 (+1%)
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 80-81°F on June 12? No 100¢ 100¢ $100 $100 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on June 12? No 99¢ 100¢ $99 $100 +$1 (+1%)
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 94-95°F on June 12? No 100¢ 99¢ $96 $95 −$0 (-1%)
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on June 12? No 99¢ 100¢ $14 $14 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 96-97°F on June 12? No 100¢ 100¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 86°F or higher on June 12? Jun 12 $95 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 84-85°F on Ju Jun 12 $18 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 96-97°F on June 12? Jun 12 $298 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on June 12? Jun 12 $2,397 +$11 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on June Jun 12 $11 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 98-99°F on Ju Jun 12 $240 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C or higher on June 12? Jun 12 $5,697 +$36 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on June 12? Jun 12 $1,244 +$5 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on June 12? Jun 12 $176 +$2 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 35°C on June 12? Jun 12 $250 +$5 +2%
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C or higher on June 12? Jun 12 $64 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on June 12? Jun 12 $1,955 +$7 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on June 12? Jun 12 $905 +$1 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on June 12? Jun 12 $231 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 33°C on June 12? Jun 12 $2,341 +$5 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on June 12? Jun 12 $29 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $2,874 +$28 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on June 12? Jun 12 $170 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C or higher on June 12? Jun 12 $18 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on June 12? Jun 12 $16 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 34°C on June 12? Jun 12 $16 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 37°C on June 12? Jun 12 $1,206 +$4 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on June 12? Jun 12 $272 +$2 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on June 12? Jun 12 $317 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $4,178 +$52 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 12? Jun 12 $4,532 +$9 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on June 12? Jun 12 $666 +$1 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on June 12? Jun 12 $2,023 +$2 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C or higher on June 12? Jun 12 $4,929 +$15 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 12? Jun 12 $5,236 +$16 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on June 12? Jun 12 $146 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on June 12? Jun 12 $22 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on June 12? Jun 12 $50 +$1 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on June 12? Jun 12 $3,369 +$10 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 36°C or higher on June Jun 12 $87 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on June 12? Jun 12 $1,093 +$7 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C or higher on June 12 Jun 12 $1,633 +$3 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on June 12? Jun 12 $11 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on June 12? Jun 12 $130 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 36°C on June 12? Jun 12 $395 +$1 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on June 12? Jun 12 $28 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on June 12? Jun 12 $2,312 +$4 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 12? Jun 12 $456 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 37°C or higher on June 12? Jun 12 $53 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C or higher on June 12? Jun 12 $41 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on June 12? Jun 12 $35 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on June 12? Jun 12 $2,793 +$12 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on June 12? Jun 12 $6 $0 -0%
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on June 12? Jun 12 $91 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on June 12? Jun 12 $140 $0 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
weather 47% +$6,893
sports 42% +$2,583
crypto 11% +$480
other 0% +$5
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 96-97°F on June 12? BUY No 100¢ $10 0m
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on June 12? SELL No 100¢ $91 1m
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 76-77°F on Ju BUY No 100¢ $15 5m
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on June 12? SELL No 100¢ $100 7m
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on June 12? SELL No 100¢ $3 14m
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on June 12? SELL No 100¢ $3 14m
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on June 12? SELL No 100¢ $2 14m
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on June 12? SELL No 100¢ $2 14m
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on June 12? SELL No 100¢ $2 14m
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on June 12? SELL No 100¢ $2 14m
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 80-81°F on Ju SELL No 100¢ $95 14m
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 78-79°F on Ju SELL No 100¢ $86 14m
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 80-81°F on Ju SELL No 100¢ $342 14m
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on June 12? SELL No 100¢ $3 16m
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 80-81°F on Ju SELL No 100¢ $468 17m
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 80-81°F on Ju SELL No 100¢ $143 17m
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 80-81°F on Ju SELL No 100¢ $26 17m
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 80-81°F on Ju SELL No 100¢ $213 17m
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on June 12? SELL No 100¢ $179 19m
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on June 12? SELL No 100¢ $26 20m
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on June 12? SELL No 100¢ $15 20m
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 94-95°F on June 12? BUY No 100¢ $96 34m
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on Ju BUY No 100¢ $8 35m
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 76-77°F on Ju BUY No 99¢ $18 35m
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 86°F or higher on June 12? SELL No 100¢ $95 35m
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on June 12? SELL No 100¢ $20 43m
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on June 12? SELL No 100¢ $79 43m
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 84-85°F on Ju SELL No 100¢ $12 43m
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 84-85°F on Ju SELL No 100¢ $6 43m
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 80-81°F on Ju BUY No 100¢ $30 44m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +2%
net ROI/market (all)+19.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 190 +32.5% +19.9% 98% 2% -7.7%
≤30d 190 +32.5% +19.9% 98% 2% -7.7%
≤90d 190 +32.5% +19.9% 98% 2% -7.7%
all 190 +32.5% +19.9% 98% 2% -7.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1319.1 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to10%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +19.9% 2% -7.7%
10% +8.4% 2% -16.5%
15% ← realistic here -2.0% 2% -24.6%
20% -11.6% 2% -32.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $9,548.60 · official $9,548.23 (match) · 3500 history records