trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 22 | -13.2% | -21.4% | 32% | 32% | -7.5% |
| ≤30d | 22 | -13.2% | -21.4% | 32% | 32% | -7.5% |
| ≤90d | 22 | -13.2% | -21.4% | 32% | 32% | -7.5% |
| all | 22 | -13.2% | -21.4% | 32% | 32% | -7.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -21.4% | 32% | -7.5% |
| 10% | -29.0% | 27% | -16.4% |
| 15% | -35.8% | 27% | -24.5% |
| 20% | -42.1% | 27% | -31.9% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | Yes | 16¢ | 88¢ | $452 | $2,493 | +$2,040 (+451%) |
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 5¢ | 4¢ | $487 | $385 | −$102 (-21%) |
| Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 2¢ | 2¢ | $20 | $25 | +$5 (+24%) |
| Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17? | Yes | 73¢ | 72¢ | $20 | $20 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 2¢ | 1¢ | $23 | $18 | −$4 (-19%) |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 12¢ | 8¢ | $25 | $17 | −$8 (-32%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ghana vs. Panama end in a draw? | Jun 18 | $1 | −$1 | -97% |
| Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 18 | $10 | +$31 | +299% |
| Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw? | Jun 17 | $15 | −$15 | -98% |
| Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 16 | $15 | −$15 | -98% |
| Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $1 | −$1 | -97% |
| Will Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay end in a draw? | Jun 15 | $10 | +$12 | +122% |
| Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw? | Jun 15 | $12 | +$26 | +213% |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $3 | −$1 | -43% |
| Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $1 | −$1 | -97% |
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $1 | −$1 | -98% |
| Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 15 | $3 | +$3 | +93% |
| Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $8 | +$2 | +21% |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $3 | −$3 | -98% |
| Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $6 | −$6 | -98% |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $10 | −$10 | -99% |
| Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $2 | −$1 | -98% |
| Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 14 | $1 | −$1 | -97% |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $18 | −$18 | -98% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $5 | +$6 | +114% |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 12 | $18 | −$18 | -98% |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $9 | +$18 | +197% |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 12 | $9 | $0 | -5% |