Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T09:34:08+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
98 0x985f…14d7 crypto 47 markets active 6d ago coverage 2d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (350 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 2d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL +$43 (+2%) realized +$43 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -1% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -24% what you keep after slip
Net edge-24%after slip
Net WR13%break-even
Win rate53%25W / 22L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$52per market
Trades / day350.0pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 2d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$25
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (350 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +13%
net ROI/market (all)-10.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 38 -1.7% -11.0% 55% 16% -10.3%
≤30d 47 -1.3% -10.7% 53% 13% -10.4%
≤90d 47 -1.3% -10.7% 53% 13% -10.4%
all 47 -1.3% -10.7% 53% 13% -10.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover350.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.7% 13% -10.4%
10% ← realistic here -19.3% 2% -19.0%
15% -27.1% 0% -26.8%
20% -34.2% 0% -34.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 26% · top 2 33% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
72% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -1% · $-wt -1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +1% → late -3% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
14.1 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$2 · ×0.39 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.45 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

2d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$43
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)53%
Wins / losses25 / 22
Open positions0
Markets (closed)47 / 47
History coverage2d
Avg bet$52
Trades / day350.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 47 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 11 $18 −$3 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 11 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 11 $9 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 11 $31 +$5 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 11 $4 $0 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 11 $4 +$1 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 11 $38 −$3 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 11 $14 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 11 $20 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 11 $20 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 11 $9 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 11 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 11 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 11 $11 −$1 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 10 $11 −$1 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 10 $9 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 10 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 10 $173 −$3 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 10 $106 −$1 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 10 $40 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 10 $61 −$1 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 10 $4 +$1 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 10 $235 −$5 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 10 $59 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 10 $29 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 10 $31 −$1 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 10 $137 −$2 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 10 $191 −$1 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 10 $199 −$4 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 09 $65 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 09 $35 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 09 $112 −$2 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 09 $149 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 09 $39 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 09 $263 −$3 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 09 $16 −$1 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 09 $228 −$8 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 09 $5 $0 +9%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $3 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $2 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $2 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $3 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 31¢ $2 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $4 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 23¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $9 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $0 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET SELL Up 27¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $18 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $8 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $2 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $4 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 12¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $4 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $4 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $10 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $4 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $7 6d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 722 history records