Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T19:26:44+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

98
0x9853…62aa
other · 259 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$90 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$90 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$90
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)4%
Wins / losses11 / 248
Whale WR (big bets)0%
Est. fees paid−$8
Open positions0
Markets (closed)259 / 259
History coverage134d
Avg bet$215
Trades / day10.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit63%
Chart Positions 0 History 259 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$8
7 days−$22
14 days−$29
30 days−$42
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $619 −$1 -0%
Will the Pittsburgh Pirates win the 2026 World Series? Jun 12 $228 −$1 -0%
Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 12 $348 −$1 -0%
Will the Miami Dolphins win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 12 $394 −$1 -0%
Will Ahmed al-Sharaa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 12 $525 −$1 -0%
Will the Texas Rangers win the 2026 World Series? Jun 12 $696 −$1 -0%
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 11 $319 $0 -0%
Will the Dallas Cowboys win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 11 $83 $0 -0%
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 11 $533 −$1 -0%
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 11 $410 −$1 -0%
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 10 $546 −$1 -0%
Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 10 $294 −$1 -0%
Will Julian Assange win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 10 $131 $0 -0%
Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2 Jun 10 $71 $0 -0%
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? Jun 10 $697 −$1 -0%
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? Jun 09 $231 $0 -0%
Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 09 $129 $0 -0%
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 09 $934 −$2 -0%
Will Charlotte FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? Jun 09 $288 −$1 -0%
Xi Jinping out by June 30? Jun 09 $731 −$1 -0%
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Jun 09 $503 −$1 -0%
Will the Detroit Tigers win the 2026 World Series? Jun 09 $711 −$2 -0%
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 08 $63 $0 -0%
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 08 $556 −$1 -0%
Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 08 $323 $0 +0%
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 08 $138 $0 -0%
Will the Cincinnati Reds win the 2026 World Series? Jun 07 $543 −$1 -0%
Will Charlie Kirk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 07 $286 $0 -0%
Will Khaled Mashal win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 07 $316 −$1 -0%
Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Jun 07 $578 −$1 -0%
Will New York Red Bulls win the 2026 MLS Cup? Jun 06 $137 $0 -0%
Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026? Jun 06 $335 $0 -0%
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 06 $311 −$1 -0%
Will the Baltimore Orioles win the 2026 World Series? Jun 05 $447 −$1 -0%
Will Real Salt Lake win the 2026 MLS Cup? Jun 05 $230 −$1 -0%
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 04 $487 −$1 -0%
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 04 $300 $0 -0%
Will Minnesota United FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? Jun 03 $135 $0 -0%
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? Jun 03 $326 −$1 -0%
Will the Boston Red Sox win the 2026 World Series? Jun 03 $536 −$1 -0%
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Jun 02 $492 −$1 -0%
Will the Carolina Panthers win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 01 $66 $0 -0%
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 01 $228 $0 -0%
Will Tunisia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 01 $476 $0 -0%
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026? May 31 $135 $0 -0%
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 31 $447 −$1 -0%
Will Mohammed bin Salman win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? May 29 $230 $0 -0%
Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win the 2027 NFL league championship? May 29 $363 −$1 -0%
Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? May 28 $69 −$1 -1%
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 28 $237 $0 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 47% −$43
sports 25% −$21
politics 7% −$7
culture 6% −$6
economics 5% −$4
crypto 5% −$5
world 4% −$3
finance 1% −$1
tech 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 98¢ $60 9m
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 98¢ $60 1h
Will the Pittsburgh Pirates win the 2026 World Series? SELL No 99¢ $60 2h
Will the Pittsburgh Pirates win the 2026 World Series? BUY No 99¢ $60 4h
Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? SELL No 99¢ $60 6h
Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? BUY No 99¢ $60 7h
Will the Miami Dolphins win the 2027 NFL league championship? SELL No 99¢ $60 9h
Will the Miami Dolphins win the 2027 NFL league championship? BUY No 99¢ $60 10h
Will Ahmed al-Sharaa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? SELL No 99¢ $22 10h
Will Ahmed al-Sharaa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? SELL No 99¢ $38 13h
Will Ahmed al-Sharaa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? BUY No 99¢ $60 15h
Will the Texas Rangers win the 2026 World Series? SELL No 98¢ $61 16h
Will the Texas Rangers win the 2026 World Series? BUY No 98¢ $61 18h
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 99¢ $61 19h
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 99¢ $61 21h
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 98¢ $61 22h
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 98¢ $61 23h
Will the Dallas Cowboys win the 2027 NFL league championship? SELL No 97¢ $61 29h
Will the Dallas Cowboys win the 2027 NFL league championship? BUY No 97¢ $61 30h
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? SELL No 100¢ $61 33h
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? BUY No 100¢ $61 35h
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 99¢ $61 39h
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 99¢ $61 42h
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 99¢ $61 45h
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 99¢ $61 47h
Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the 2027 NFL league championship? SELL No 99¢ $61 2d
Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the 2027 NFL league championship? BUY No 99¢ $61 2d
Will Julian Assange win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? SELL No 99¢ $61 2d
Will Julian Assange win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? BUY No 99¢ $62 2d
Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2 SELL No 98¢ $62 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 33 -0.2% -9.7% 3% 0% -9.7%
≤30d 74 -0.2% -9.7% 1% 0% -9.7%
≤90d 189 -0.2% -9.7% 4% 0% -9.7%
all 259 -0.2% -9.7% 4% 0% -9.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover10.2 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.7% 0% -9.7%
10% -18.3% 0% -18.3%
15% -26.2% 0% -26.2%
20% -33.4% 0% -33.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1435 history records