trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 4 | +0.8% | -8.8% | 75% | 0% | -8.8% |
| ≤30d | 10 | +0.2% | -9.4% | 40% | 0% | -9.3% |
| ≤90d | 10 | +0.2% | -9.4% | 40% | 0% | -9.3% |
| all | 24 | -0.0% | -9.6% | 38% | 0% | -9.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -9.6% | 0% | -9.4% |
| 10% | -18.2% | 0% | -18.1% |
| 15% | -26.1% | 0% | -26.0% |
| 20% | -33.4% | 0% | -33.3% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | Jun 14 | $75 | +$1 | +1% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | Jun 13 | $35 | +$1 | +4% |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Jun 12 | $39 | $0 | +1% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia | Jun 10 | $35 | −$1 | -2% |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? | Jun 09 | $34 | $0 | +0% |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? | Jun 09 | $69 | $0 | -0% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | Jun 08 | $35 | $0 | -1% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Jun 06 | $35 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Alberta join the US? | Jun 05 | $40 | $0 | -0% |
| Iran leadership change by June 30? | Jun 05 | $4 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2025 National League Championship? | Jul 16 | $10 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Trump announce Judy Shelton as next Fed Chair? | Jun 24 | $11 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Larry Ellison buy TikTok before July? | Jun 12 | $11 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the St. Louis Cardinals win the 2025 World Series? | Jun 09 | $11 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Sam Altman buy TikTok? | Jun 09 | $11 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the St. Louis Cardinals win the 2025 National League Championship | Jun 08 | $2 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Anthony Albanese be the first leader out in 2025? | Jun 08 | $10 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Emmanuel Macron be the first leader out in 2025? | Jun 07 | $10 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Cristian Popescu Piedone be the next Mayor of Bucharest? | Jun 06 | $3 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Donald Trump be the first leader out in 2025? | Jun 06 | $9 | −$1 | -9% |
| Will Lee Jae-myung win 40-45% of the vote in the South Korea election? | Jun 04 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Hong Joon-pyo be elected the next president of South Korea? | Jun 04 | $12 | $0 | +4% |
| Will the Houston Rockets win the 2025 NBA Finals? | May 07 | $2 | $0 | +2% |
| Liverpool wins the Premier League? | Mar 29 | $13 | $0 | +0% |