trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 11 | -31.0% | -37.6% | 0% | 0% | -36.8% |
| ≤30d | 14 | -26.4% | -33.4% | 14% | 14% | -53.5% |
| ≤90d | 14 | -26.4% | -33.4% | 14% | 14% | -53.5% |
| all | 14 | -26.4% | -33.4% | 14% | 14% | -53.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -33.4% | 14% | -53.5% |
| 10% | -39.8% | 7% | -58.0% |
| 15% | -45.6% | 7% | -62.0% |
| 20% | -50.9% | 0% | -65.8% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026? | Jun 22 | $5 | −$2 | -40% |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026? | Jun 21 | $26 | −$7 | -28% |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026? | Jun 19 | $10 | −$2 | -21% |
| Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on | Jun 19 | $7 | −$1 | -19% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026? | Jun 19 | $10 | −$6 | -61% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Jun 19 | $3 | $0 | +0% |
| Trump meets with Mojtaba Khamenei by July 31? | Jun 19 | $3 | −$1 | -32% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31? | Jun 16 | $1 | −$1 | -56% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? | Jun 16 | $2 | −$1 | -38% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | Jun 16 | $2 | −$1 | -40% |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Jun 16 | $4 | $0 | -6% |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026? | Jun 14 | $19 | +$2 | +11% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | Jun 13 | $16 | +$7 | +46% |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential elect | Jun 13 | $110 | −$93 | -85% |