| Cuban regime falls in 2026? |
Jun 21 |
$35 |
$0 |
+0% |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? |
Jun 19 |
$42 |
−$11 |
-26% |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? |
Jun 19 |
$58 |
$0 |
-0% |
| Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026 |
Jun 19 |
$7 |
$0 |
+0% |
| Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? |
Jun 19 |
$4 |
$0 |
-8% |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30? |
May 26 |
$71 |
$0 |
+0% |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? |
May 25 |
$56 |
$0 |
-0% |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? |
May 24 |
$35 |
$0 |
+0% |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31? |
May 24 |
$13 |
−$1 |
-4% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? |
May 23 |
$65 |
$0 |
+0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
May 22 |
$57 |
+$2 |
+4% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31? |
May 21 |
$7 |
$0 |
+5% |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? |
May 21 |
$42 |
$0 |
-1% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? |
May 20 |
$77 |
+$13 |
+16% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026? |
May 20 |
$4 |
−$1 |
-33% |
| Will Masoud Pezeshkian be head of state in Iran end of 2026? |
May 19 |
$33 |
$0 |
+0% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? |
May 18 |
$50 |
+$2 |
+3% |
| Will Ousmane Dembele win the 2025 Ballon d'Or? |
Dec 15 |
$5 |
+$1 |
+18% |
| Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on June 30? |
Jun 28 |
$8 |
$0 |
+4% |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1800 in June? |
Jun 22 |
$5 |
$0 |
-6% |
| Israel strike on Iran on June 22? |
Jun 21 |
$5 |
$0 |
+1% |
| Will the San Diego Padres win the 2025 National League Championship? |
Jun 20 |
$5 |
$0 |
-0% |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after June 2025 meeting? |
Jun 19 |
$3 |
$0 |
+1% |
| Will Lee Jae-myung win 40-45% of the vote in the South Korea election? |
Jun 07 |
$2 |
$0 |
+1% |
| Will the LA Clippers win the 2025 NBA Finals? |
May 06 |
$13 |
$0 |
-0% |
| Will Trump say "the blacks" by March 28? |
Mar 23 |
$13 |
$0 |
-1% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by March 31? |
Mar 22 |
$13 |
$0 |
+1% |
| Will Elon tweet 525-549 times March 14-21? |
Mar 19 |
$1 |
−$1 |
-95% |
| Will CDU/CSU, SPD, and FDP form the next German Government? |
Mar 17 |
$13 |
$0 |
+0% |
| No change in Fed interest rates after March 2025 meeting? |
Mar 17 |
$14 |
$0 |
+0% |
| Will Elon tweet 550-574 times March 7-14? |
Mar 15 |
$14 |
$0 |
+1% |