Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T07:55:09+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

98
0x9838…bcfe
crypto · 473 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$2,764 -9%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$2,763 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$4
Realized−$2,763
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)36%
Wins / losses230 / 401
Whale WR (big bets)38%
Open positions1
Markets (closed)631 / 473
History coverage3d
Avg bet$66
Trades / day1062.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 631 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$4,637
7 days−$2,763
14 days−$2,763
30 days−$2,763
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Up 90¢ 81¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-9%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $26 $0 −$26 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $23 $0 −$23 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Down 4¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Down 8¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $49 $0 −$49 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $47 $0 −$47 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $42 $0 −$42 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Up 24¢ 0¢ $217 $0 −$217 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $39 $0 −$39 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $112 $0 −$112 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $87 $0 −$87 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $33 $0 −$33 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Up 21¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 13 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $18 −$24 -135%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 13 $49 −$49 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $47 −$47 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 13 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 13 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 13 $39 −$39 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 13 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 13 $33 −$33 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 13 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 13 $72 −$72 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 13 $45 −$45 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 13 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 13 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 13 $26 −$41 -156%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 13 $45 −$45 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -93%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 13 $56 −$56 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 13 $32 −$32 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 13 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 13 $35 −$35 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 13 $18 −$22 -123%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 13 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 13 $56 −$56 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 13 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 13 $45 −$45 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 13 $59 −$59 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$33 -1132%
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 13 $28 −$28 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 13 $73 −$73 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$11 -196%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 13 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 13 $54 −$54 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 13 $34 −$34 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 13 $24 −$24 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 13 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 13 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 13 $54 −$54 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$1,260
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $5 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $5 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $4 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $8 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $14 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $6 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $106 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $3 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET SELL Down 70¢ $3 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $3 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET SELL Down 15¢ $0 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $3 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $4 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $3 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET SELL Up 44¢ $4 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $3 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $3 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Down 3¢ $1 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET BUY Down 22¢ $3 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET BUY Down 22¢ $4 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET BUY Down 21¢ $1 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET BUY Down 33¢ $2 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $6 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET SELL Down 11¢ $3 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $18 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $9 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET SELL Down 42¢ $4 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET SELL Up 58¢ $5 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $4 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $5 33m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +35%
net ROI/market (all)-30.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 631 -23.6% -30.9% 36% 35% -17.8%
≤30d 631 -23.6% -30.9% 36% 35% -17.8%
≤90d 631 -23.6% -30.9% 36% 35% -17.8%
all 631 -23.6% -30.9% 36% 35% -17.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1062.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -30.9% 35% -17.8%
10% ← realistic here -37.5% 33% -25.7%
15% -43.6% 31% -32.9%
20% -49.1% 28% -39.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $4.07 · official $4.08 (match) · 3500 history records