trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | 3 | +37.1% | +24.0% | 100% | 100% | +21.0% |
| ≤90d | 15 | -16.5% | -24.4% | 67% | 33% | -19.8% |
| all | 21 | -21.0% | -28.5% | 67% | 24% | -19.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -28.5% | 24% | -19.8% |
| 10% | -35.4% | 24% | -27.5% |
| 15% | -41.6% | 14% | -34.5% |
| 20% | -47.3% | 10% | -40.9% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Portugal (-1.5) | Colombia | 73¢ | 76¢ | $429 | $444 | +$15 (+3%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 19 | $196 | +$57 | +29% |
| Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 | Jun 11 | $145 | +$47 | +32% |
| LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs | Jun 07 | $71 | +$35 | +50% |
| Roland Garros WTA: Petra Marcinko vs Eva Lys | May 25 | $67 | −$67 | -99% |
| Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs paiN (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group A | May 22 | $29 | −$29 | -98% |
| Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Liquid (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A | May 13 | $96 | −$94 | -99% |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31? | May 13 | $13 | +$1 | +10% |
| Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 52°F or higher on March 14? | May 13 | $15 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Marty Supreme win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | May 13 | $16 | $0 | +3% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 mee | May 13 | $17 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 15, 2026 (ET)? | May 13 | $25 | $0 | +1% |
| Lakers vs. Rockets | May 13 | $26 | +$15 | +57% |
| Barcelona Open: Tomas Machac vs Andrey Rublev | May 13 | $27 | +$19 | +70% |
| LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs T1 Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers Le | May 07 | $28 | −$28 | -99% |
| Celtics vs. 76ers | Apr 30 | $51 | −$51 | -99% |
| 2026 U.S. House Election: Republican Odds over 40% by March 31? | Mar 02 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in January? | Feb 03 | $15 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31? | Feb 03 | $22 | +$1 | +4% |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of January? | Feb 03 | $25 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $4 mil | Jan 31 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Will Google (GOOGL) hit $335 before 2026?? | Jan 06 | $24 | $0 | +0% |