Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T18:34:53+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

98
0x9828…d76e
crypto · 87 markets active 0h ago
3.5score
+$45 +5%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$53 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$5
Realized+$53
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)73%
Wins / losses63 / 23
Est. fees paid−$2
Open positions1
Markets (closed)86 / 87
History coverage27d
Avg bet$10
Trades / day5.0
Drawdown80%
Kalshi-fit97%
Chart Positions 1 History 86 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$45
7 days+$34
14 days+$43
30 days+$53
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2PM ET Down 56¢ 54¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-4%)
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Lazer Cats (BO3) - European Pro League Series 7 Group D Lazer Cats 31¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10AM ET Down 68¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1AM ET Down 76¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Deep Cross Gaming (BO5) - LCP Playoffs Deep Cross Gaming 27¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9AM ET Down 83¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Play-In Weibo Gaming 90¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs GenOne (BO3) - European Pro League Series 7 Group D GenOne 31¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12PM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1PM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs EDward Gaming (BO5) - LPL Play-In Ninjas in Pyjamas 78¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Team WE 30¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11AM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Legacy (BO5) - CS Asia Championships Playoffs Team Falcons 77¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1PM ET Jun 14 $18 +$18 +99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10AM ET Jun 14 $36 +$12 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9AM ET Jun 14 $20 +$16 +80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9AM ET Jun 11 $25 −$25 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8PM ET Jun 11 $24 $0 +1%
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on June 10? Jun 10 $25 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10AM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9AM ET Jun 10 $2 +$2 +106%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9AM ET Jun 09 $21 +$4 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8AM ET Jun 09 $20 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8AM ET Jun 08 $34 +$8 +23%
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 07 $11 +$23 +206%
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Lazer Cats (BO3) - European Pro League Seri Jun 07 $10 −$9 -98%
Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs GenOne (BO3) - European Pro League Serie Jun 07 $11 −$11 -98%
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Deep Cross Gaming (BO5) - LCP Playoffs Jun 07 $11 −$11 -98%
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 07 $11 −$11 -98%
Dota 2: Aurora vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 06 $12 +$43 +365%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11AM ET Jun 06 $36 −$24 -67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11AM ET Jun 02 $33 +$3 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11AM ET Jun 01 $26 +$7 +25%
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May? Jun 01 $18 $0 +0%
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 3 May 31 $8 $0 +1%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,800 in May? May 30 $10 +$2 +16%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May? May 29 $5 +$2 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3AM ET May 26 $4 +$4 +103%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3PM ET May 25 $4 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2PM ET May 25 $2 +$2 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12PM ET May 25 $1 $0 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10AM ET May 25 $1 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2AM ET May 25 $11 −$10 -87%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5PM ET May 25 $10 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4PM ET May 24 $10 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3PM ET May 24 $9 +$2 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 12PM ET May 24 $5 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2PM ET May 24 $14 −$9 -62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11AM ET May 24 $5 +$4 +84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1PM ET May 24 $8 −$8 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10AM ET May 24 $11 +$10 +89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9AM ET May 24 $10 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8AM ET May 24 $10 $0 +0%
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 May 24 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2AM ET May 24 $1 −$1 -99%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs MIBR (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Playoffs May 24 $1 $0 +31%
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Play-In May 24 $10 −$10 -100%
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs EDward Gaming (BO5) - LPL Play-In May 24 $2 −$2 -99%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Legacy (BO5) - CS Asia Championships P May 24 $2 −$2 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1AM ET May 24 $1 −$1 -98%
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-05-24? May 23 $1 $0 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2PM ET May 23 $16 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1PM ET May 23 $5 +$4 +83%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 81% +$38
sports 13% +$11
other 4% +$2
tech 1% $0
finance 1% +$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $5 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $19 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $10 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9AM ET SELL Down 100¢ $36 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $9 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $11 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $25 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $24 3d
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on June 10? BUY Down 99¢ $25 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $2 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $2 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $21 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $20 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $34 6d
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Lazer Cats (BO3) - European Pro League Seri BUY Lazer Cats 31¢ $10 7d
Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs GenOne (BO3) - European Pro League Serie BUY GenOne 31¢ $11 7d
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs BUY LGD Gaming 32¢ $11 7d
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Deep Cross Gaming (BO5) - LCP Playoffs BUY Deep Cross Gaming 27¢ $11 7d
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Team WE 30¢ $11 7d
Dota 2: Aurora vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs BUY LGD Gaming 21¢ $12 8d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11AM ET SELL Down 29¢ $12 8d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $36 8d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $33 12d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $26 13d
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May? BUY No 100¢ $18 15d
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 3 BUY Yes 99¢ $8 19d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +45%
net ROI/market (all)-6.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 11 +15.1% +4.2% 82% 55% +4.1%
≤30d 86 +3.3% -6.6% 73% 45% -4.2%
≤90d 86 +3.3% -6.6% 73% 45% -4.2%
all 86 +3.3% -6.6% 73% 45% -4.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover5.0 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -6.6% 45% -4.2%
10% -15.5% 33% -13.3%
15% -23.7% 22% -21.7%
20% -31.2% 19% -29.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $4.78 · official $4.78 (match) · 173 history records