Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T17:26:07+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

98
0x9828…6600
crypto · 273 markets active 0h ago
2.0score
+$311 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$313 · open −$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$704
Realized+$313
Unrealized−$2
Win rate (resolved)98%
Wins / losses263 / 5
Open positions5
Markets (closed)268 / 273
History coverage89d
Avg bet$87
Trades / day6.1
Drawdown48%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 5 History 268 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$17
7 days+$69
14 days+$159
30 days+$116
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 June 8-14? No 98¢ 97¢ $206 $205 −$1 (-1%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 14? No 99¢ 99¢ $154 $154 −$0 (-0%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 13? No 97¢ 97¢ $141 $140 −$1 (-1%)
Will Ethereum reach $1,900 June 8-14? No 99¢ 98¢ $128 $128 −$0 (-0%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 13? No 99¢ 99¢ $77 $77 +$0 (+0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 12? Jun 12 $127 +$2 +2%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 12? Jun 12 $140 +$5 +4%
Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 on June 11? Jun 12 $254 +$2 +1%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 11? Jun 11 $101 +$3 +3%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 on June 10? Jun 11 $32 $0 +1%
Will Bitcoin dip to $59,000 on June 10? Jun 11 $38 +$1 +2%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 11? Jun 11 $132 +$2 +2%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $38 $0 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $151 +$1 +1%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 11? Jun 10 $25 $0 +1%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 10? Jun 10 $126 +$2 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 10? Jun 10 $252 +$4 +2%
Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 on June 9? Jun 10 $151 +$1 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 9? Jun 09 $252 +$2 +1%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 9? Jun 09 $99 +$2 +2%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 10? Jun 09 $63 $0 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 9? Jun 09 $247 +$4 +2%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 8? Jun 08 $50 +$1 +2%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 8? Jun 08 $100 +$4 +4%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 8? Jun 08 $317 +$8 +2%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 8? Jun 08 $147 +$1 +1%
Will Ethereum reach $1,750 on June 7? Jun 08 $61 +$1 +1%
Will Ethereum reach $1,800 on June 7? Jun 08 $62 $0 +0%
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on June 7? Jun 08 $74 +$1 +2%
Will Bitcoin reach $67,000 on June 7? Jun 08 $74 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 7? Jun 07 $74 +$1 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 7? Jun 07 $134 +$4 +3%
Will Bitcoin reach $64,000 on June 6? Jun 07 $195 +$4 +2%
Will Ethereum reach $1,700 on June 6? Jun 07 $74 +$1 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 7? Jun 07 $120 +$2 +2%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 7? Jun 07 $122 +$1 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 7? Jun 06 $146 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 7? Jun 06 $145 $0 +0%
Will Ethereum reach $1,750 on June 5? Jun 06 $98 +$1 +1%
Will Bitcoin reach $64,000 on June 5? Jun 06 $145 +$6 +4%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on June 5? Jun 05 $188 +$4 +2%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 5? Jun 05 $239 +$8 +3%
Will Ethereum reach $1,950 on June 4? Jun 05 $238 +$2 +1%
Will Bitcoin reach $69,000 on June 4? Jun 05 $142 +$1 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 4? Jun 04 $189 +$6 +3%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 4? Jun 04 $142 +$1 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 5? Jun 04 $233 +$5 +2%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 4? Jun 04 $187 +$5 +3%
Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 on June 3? Jun 04 $161 +$3 +2%
Will Bitcoin reach $71,000 on June 3? Jun 03 $140 +$4 +3%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 4? Jun 03 $140 +$1 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 4? Jun 03 $232 +$3 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 3? Jun 03 $130 +$3 +2%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on June 3? Jun 03 $139 +$1 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 3? Jun 03 $231 +$3 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 99% +$263
culture 0% +$55
world 0% −$7
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Ethereum reach $1,900 June 8-14? BUY No 99¢ $128 19m
Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 June 8-14? BUY No 98¢ $206 20m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 13? BUY No 97¢ $141 1h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 13? BUY No 99¢ $77 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 14? BUY No 99¢ $154 1h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 12? SELL No 100¢ $129 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 12? SELL No 100¢ $146 1h
Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 on June 11? SELL No 100¢ $257 13h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 11? SELL No 100¢ $104 24h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 11? BUY No 97¢ $101 27h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 12? BUY No 96¢ $140 27h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 12? BUY No 98¢ $127 27h
Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 on June 11? BUY No 99¢ $254 27h
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 on June 10? SELL No 100¢ $32 37h
Will Bitcoin dip to $59,000 on June 10? SELL No 100¢ $39 37h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 11? SELL No 100¢ $134 38h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 11? SELL No 100¢ $38 38h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 11? SELL No 100¢ $152 38h
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 on June 10? BUY No 99¢ $32 2d
Will Bitcoin dip to $59,000 on June 10? BUY No 98¢ $38 2d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 11? BUY No 99¢ $38 2d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 11? BUY No 98¢ $32 2d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 11? SELL No 100¢ $25 2d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 10? SELL No 100¢ $128 2d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 10? SELL No 100¢ $256 2d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 11? BUY No 98¢ $100 3d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 11? BUY No 99¢ $151 3d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 9? SELL No 100¢ $254 3d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 10? BUY No 99¢ $126 3d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 10? BUY No 98¢ $252 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +3%
net ROI/market (all)-7.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 35 +1.5% -8.2% 100% 0% -8.1%
≤30d 108 +0.7% -8.9% 98% 0% -8.9%
≤90d 268 +2.4% -7.3% 98% 3% -8.3%
all 268 +2.4% -7.3% 98% 3% -8.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover6.1 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -7.3% 3% -8.3%
10% -16.2% 2% -17.1%
15% -24.3% 1% -25.1%
20% -31.7% 1% -32.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $703.92 · official $703.92 (match) · 562 history records