Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T09:13:35+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
98 0x9826…983b crypto 1033 markets active 0h ago coverage 6d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 5d onlyP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ bot/MM pace (423 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL +$20,183 (+33%) realized +$20,205 · open −$22
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -23% what you keep after slip
Net edge-23%after slip
Net WR1%break-even
Win rate99%1015W / 15L
Drawdown95%max
Avg bet$58per market
Trades / day422.9pace
Kalshi-fit59%portable
Net worth$89now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 69% +$196
other 31% −$7
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (423 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +1%
net ROI/market (all)-9.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1030 -0.1% -9.6% 99% 1% -9.2%
≤30d 1030 -0.1% -9.6% 99% 1% -9.2%
≤90d 1030 -0.1% -9.6% 99% 1% -9.2%
all 1030 -0.1% -9.6% 99% 1% -9.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover422.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.6% 1% -9.2%
10% ← realistic here -18.2% 0% -17.9%
15% -26.1% 0% -25.8%
20% -33.4% 0% -33.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 3% · top 2 4% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
99% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -0% · $-wt +0% edge needs big-bet sizing — not flat-copyable
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +1% → late -1% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
2.4 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$46 · ×0.02 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.31 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

6d coverage
Net worth$89
Realized+$20,205
Unrealized−$22
Win rate (resolved)99%
Wins / losses1015 / 15
Open positions3
Markets (closed)1030 / 1033
History coverage6d ⚠
Avg bet$58
Trades / day422.9
Drawdown95%
Kalshi-fit59%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 3 History 1030 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Down 99¢ 98¢ $46 $45 −$0 (-1%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Up 99¢ 78¢ $36 $28 −$8 (-22%)
HYPE Up or Down on June 15? Up 99¢ 54¢ $30 $16 −$14 (-46%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 15 $84 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 15 $15 $0 +3%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 15 $45 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 15 $15 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 15 $14 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 15 $84 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 15 $45 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 15 $84 +$1 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 15 $55 +$1 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 15 $84 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 15 $84 +$1 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 15 $45 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Jun 15 $15 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 15 $45 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Jun 15 $15 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 15 $134 +$3 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Jun 15 $15 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 15 $84 +$1 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 15 $84 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 15 $134 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 15 $134 +$2 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 15 $15 +$5 +33%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 15 $15 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 15 $45 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 15 $84 +$1 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 15 $58 +$1 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 15 $84 +$1 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 15 $117 +$1 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 15 $84 +$1 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 15 $45 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 15 $45 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 15 $84 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 15 $15 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 15 $45 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 15 $42 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 15 $84 +$1 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 15 $45 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 15 $134 +$1 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 15 $84 +$1 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 15 $39 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 15 $84 +$1 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 15 $84 +$1 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 15 $15 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 15 $198 +$2 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 15 $15 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 15 $15 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 15 $134 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 15 $198 +$2 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 15 $84 +$1 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 15 $134 +$1 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $21 1m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $15 1m
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 2m
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $30 2m
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $15 2m
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $40 15m
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $30 15m
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $15 15m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $30 17m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $15 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $15 18m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $14 29m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $40 29m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $30 29m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $30 29m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $15 29m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $15 30m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $40 30m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $30 30m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $15 30m
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $15 34m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $40 44m
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 44m
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $30 44m
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $15 44m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $30 45m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $15 45m
HYPE Up or Down on June 15? BUY Up 99¢ $15 59m
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $30 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $15 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $89.30 · official $93.42 · 3500 history records